Reich: Four Reasons Why Romney Might Still Win

[pampango]

1. Between now and Election Day come two jobs reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics – October 5 and November 2. If they’re as bad as the last report, showing only 96,000 jobs added in August (125,000 are needed just to keep up with population growth) and the lowest percentage of employed adults since 1981, Romney’s claim the economy is off track becomes more credible, and Obama’s that it’s on the mend harder to defend.

2. Also between now and Election Day are three presidential debates, starting October 3. It’s commonly thought Obama will win them handily but that expectation may be very wrong – and could work against him. Yes, Romney is an automaton — but when the dials are set properly he can give a good imitation of a human engaged in sharp debate. He did well in the Republican primary debates.

3. During the next 7 final weeks of the campaign, the anti-Obama forces will be spending a gigantic amount of money. Not just the Romney campaign and Romney’s super PACs, but other super PACS aligned with Romney, billionaires spending their own fortunes, and non-profit “social welfare” organizations like the Chamber of Commerce, Karl Rove’s “Crossroads,” and various Koch-brothers political fronts – all will dump hundreds of millions on TV and radio spots, much of it spreading lies and distortions.

4. As they’ve displayed before, the Republican Party will do whatever it can to win — even if it means disenfranchising certain voters. To date, 11 states have enacted voter identification laws, all designed by Republican legislatures and governors to dampen Democratic turnout.

http://robertreich.org/post/31908908352

It is fine to be happy that Obama is ahead rather than behind at this stage, but don't count this chicken before it hatches.

[bullwinkle428]

1. A very important reminder from Reich for Democrats to not get complacent.

K&R.

[JaneyVee]

2. I agree, except with #2. Romney gaffed his way through the debates against a weak field

[JenniferJuniper]

3. I'll betcha 10,000 bucks

he can't make it through a single debate without saying something incredibly bizarre.

I know the expectations are high for Obama, but Mitt is what he is.

[AsahinaKimi]

4. The famous baseball player

New York Yankee great, Yogi Berra once said, "It ain't over, till its over".

Stay vigilant my friends, stay vigilant.

[postulater]

8. And he also said

"I really didn't say everything I said."

[Patiod]

5. Kicked just b/c it's Robert Reich

Who I wholeheartedly respect.

And because I live in a #4 state.

[NYC Liberal]

6. Totally disagree with #1. We've already had 2, maybe 3, so-so/bad jobs reports

and it hasn't hurt him much. Not gonna change now.

As for #3, they've ALREADY been spending gigantic amounts of money and where has it gotten them? Sure they'll keep spending more but Romney is such an awful candidate that it won't help much.

But don't take anything for granted of course.

[sendero]

7. I like Reich....

.... but if he thinks the average American understands the jobs numbers he is cookoo.

Only if the numbers are disastrous will they have any effect on anything.

I also think that most Americans have given up really understanding what is going on. They are not going to elect on "facts" like employment numbers, they are going to elect on "feel" of who is most likely to help them.

IMHO