****Fresh**** YOU GOV BATTLEGROUNDS PA AND WI - Biden + 6*

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1HySmD4Wu_uSqXjyvK69R3Re9pJUXvEHm/view



https://drive.google.com/file/d/1CFgA4CjSVJSJYPxfLsQj6BUWuXo_YHd7/view

* Was even in last YOUGOV WI poll

[Terry_M]

1. too close

Trump doesn't need both. He only needs to win 1. GOTV

[SiliconValley_Dem]

3. that is not true. he needed all 3 of PA, WI, and MI to win in 2016

[Thekaspervote]

7. If you look at the projected EC maps, Biden would only need one. He's winning in other areas

[nsd]

8. Trump needed just one of those three.

Ignoring faithless electors, Trump won 306 EV, which is 36 more than needed. WI has 10, MI 16, and PA 20.

Winning WI alone would have been enough for Trump — again ignoring faithless electors.

[SiliconValley_Dem]

10. ok--yes, I had my numbers wrong

I don't know if we have increased chance of winning NC, Mich, Pa, Wi over 2016--but it feels like we do. I would add there seems to be hope for Florida

[jorgevlorgan]

11. It is a case where that one ME EC vote makes the difference.

If it is tie, trump wins.Trump winning Wisconsin makes it tie if biden also wins all of maine.

[still_one]

4. This poll represents "likely voters". There is usually a larger gap when you just see "registered

voters", and a lot of the polls we have seen with larger gaps were registered voters not likely voters

I suspect this election is going to be close regardless

One thing trump has accomplished, he has united the Democratic party among Democrats from the left, middle, and right that was not there in 2016, and also has generated a huge amount of enthusiasm to see trump removed

I am not sure if that enthusiasm to have trump removed has been modeled into the likely voter analysis

[Ilsa]

2. I'm hopeful for a bigger margin.

I'm hoping more people will wake up to the danger that is trump. I'm hoping more republicans will disavow him, but I doubt they will.

[NCDem47]

5. I've been reading that anything less than +3 for Biden at final vote

Opens the door for bad actors to question results.

[highplainsdem]

6. K&R!

[OrlandoDem2]

9. Polls will tighten. Polls are not votes. GOTV!