****JUST RELEASED A + RATED MONMOUTH NATIONAL POLL*** Biden 51% Trump 41% *

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_081120/

*Interesting tidbit. The party breakdown is 38% I, 32% D, and 30% R. That suggests Biden's substantial lead is being fueled by independents

[NCDem47]

1. Polls and final vote tally needs to stay greater than Biden +4 in swing states

This is where it counts for Electoral College.

Anything +3 or less for Biden will open the door to Republicans stealing the election.

[progressive nobody]

2. I worry that the VP pick will effect the pick.

Unfortunately we are a sexist nation when it comes to women candidates

[SiliconValley_Dem]

3. nope--that's already baked in as we've known for some time

he is picking a woman. we have come an amazingly far distance from Mondale-Ferraro

[AllTooEasy]

18. If we've come so far, then why did Hillary lose?

She was the most qualified candidate in history, and she lost to the most unqualified candidate/man in history.

Yeah, America is still moronically sexist.

[radius777]

26. Hillary was demonized for many more years,

also Clinton fatigue, also they're different people (all women aren't the same, you know that right) with different political talents. Kamala is more charismatic (and younger, remember ageism is a thing, especially against women) than Hillary.

Four years ago also seems like a lifetime ago, with the Floyd stuff, Covid, etc - remember the Blue Wave of '18 was also driven by women that also elected record numbers of women.

[radius777]

23. +1. And it's long been assumed it would Kamala. /nt

[obamanut2012]

5. your concern is noted

[Celerity]

12. +1000

[Tommymac]

15. +1 Spot on. Concern is so concerning.

I'm concerned that concerns about concerning things up the level of concern to concerning levels, and wonder if too much concern brings about concerning things.

[AllTooEasy]

16. Your Complacency is Noted

Let me guess, You were part of the “She’s Got This” crowd during the run up to Trumpanzee’s victory.

No lead is big enough. No concern should be overlooked. No Repuke dirty trick should be unexpected. No effort is too difficult. Let’s whip Trump’s ass.

and when we’re done...whip him some more.

[Yavin4]

7. The one effect will be if its a really bad choice which may damper Dem enthusiasm about the ticket.

If Biden picked Amy Klobuchar for example.

[MFM008]

13. Bull

It will effect it for the better.

[lagomorph777]

17. The majority of voters are women.

The majority of women are polling for Biden, and they have known for months that the VP will be a woman.

[AllTooEasy]

19. The majority of voters were women in 2016

The majority of women polled for Hillary, and they knew that was our PRESIDENTIAL candidate would be a woman.

Your complacency is noted. We can’t take anything for granted(again) this election. No lead is big enough. No effort is too great. No concern should be ignored. No dirty Repuke trick should be unanticipated. Let’s whip Trumpanzee’s ass.

...and when we think that we are done, Whip him some more!

[lagomorph777]

21. Complacency??

Sheesh. Being pleased with Biden's VP pick means I'm complacent now?

We don't have to shred each other this way. Dems are supposed to be the grownups, aren't we?

[radius777]

22. Hillary made the mistake of picking Kane instead of Booker.

She went safe instead of bold and it bit us in the ass (lower black turnout in Rustbelt) while Kane didn't help (we would've won VA anyway).

Kamala is inspiring and will drive up base turnout as well as suburban women who are trending Dem.

[honest.abe]

28. LOL.. you have it backwards!

Biden's numbers will improve with VP Harris announcement.

Guaranteed!

[Music Man]

4. C'mon, Joe!

Last edited Tue Aug 11, 2020, 02:09 PM - Edit history (1)

You can do it

[Johnny2X2X]

6. Joe is up 8-11 points

The average moves some, but it's mostly noise. I don't think things will change much.

Biden supporters right now are about at 50%, they're like Trump voters in 2016, nothing Biden could do will change their support of him, he could shoot someone in the middle of the street. Biden's floor might be 50%.

[mvd]

8. K&R

Double digit leads in respected polls are always good to see.

[Wounded Bear]

9. Breaking the 50% barrier is significant, too...

I always think polls that at 50%+ are better indicators.

[AllTooEasy]

20. Recall that Hillary had %51 of the vote. Let's get Joe to %55!!!

We can do it, we just can’t be complacent.

[Happy Hoosier]

10. Contrary to my worries last week....

Joe's lead seems to be durable. I sure hope so.

Trump MUST be defeated! Go Joe!

[peggysue2]

11. As was the case during the primaries, Biden's overall numbers have been remarkably stable

I hopped over to 538 yesterday, playing with the national-poll slide gizmo that Silver offers. Biden's average is now at 50.0% (a good sign) but in March it was 49.7% with a few minor ups and downs. The big change is Trump's overall dip in polls, fueled by the disastrous pandemic response + the economic turmoil.

The economic factors will become worse, despite all Trump's crowing about the stock market. Read a news story just this morning that the Kentucky electorate is really getting restless and pissed off at McConnell because of the relief stall for individual citizens, small businesses, etc. They're seeing their economic futures collapsing, as will be the case for many around the country.

Trump can lie his ass off, pretend he's doing something through useless EO's, but he cannot lie about the raw hardships people are/will start experiencing on the ground.

And yes, that breakdown of Independent voters leaning in Biden's direction is a very good sign.

[radius777]

29. +1. and back-to-school season is going to be a mess

that may very well cause the polls to widen (when historically they tend to tighten around that time).

[Brainfodder]

14. More upset that Trump has support outside of immediate family?

Supporting a SUPER OBVIOUS MEGA CRIMINAL OBNOXIOUS DICKHEAD for leader of a country?

And that's a very fair assessment?

So, 41% of those polled, basically are loyal to the core Republicans, and anyone could be in their #1 spot, anyone 35+ years old and an American born citizen, ONLY requirements, ONLY!?!

Feels highly likely stroke or dementia patient is in the oval office, but like all things, temporary!

Temporary is a very important word, please remember it when you get down.

[honest.abe]

24. Very good numbers and likely to go up with VP Harris announcement.

[Johnny2X2X]

25. Agree

Harris was the obvious pick, she checks all of the boxes.

[Demsrule86]

27. There are more Democrats than Republicans now...in fact, there were those who

were Republicans that have now not only left the Republican Party but have registered as Democrats and voted in the Democratic primary this year.