FL-15: 3 Dems in race to flip US House-15 seat

[RandySF]

LAKELAND — Groups aligned with the Democratic Party have targeted U.S. House District 15 in Florida as “flippable,” or ripe for swiping from Republican control.

That’s partly because the incumbent, Rep. Ross Spano, R-Dover, is seen as vulnerable. Spano, a first-term lawmaker, is under investigation by the Department of Justice for apparent financial infractions in the 2018 campaign.

The question is: Which Democrat will take on Spano? (That’s assuming he withstands a challenge from Lakeland City Commissioner Scott Franklin in the Republican primary.)

Three Democrats will appear on the ballot for the Aug. 18 primary: Alan Cohn of Tampa, Florida Rep. Adam Hattersley of Riverview and Jesse Philippe of Riverview. District 15 encompasses northern Polk County, including Lakeland, and parts of Hillsborough and Lake counties.



https://www.theledger.com/story/news/2020/08/07/three-democrats-vie-primary-u-s-house-15-lakelands-district/3322424001/

[Celerity]

1. This seat is potentially the most important race in the entire House. It is by far our best shot to

take away one of the Rethugs 26 state delegations. FL and WI are the only two that we are a flip away from taking the state away from the Rethugs. WI is so gerrymandered it is almost impossible to flip another there.

IF we hold our 13 FL seats now, and flip this one, it give us a 14/13 lead over the Rethugs and thus, they (unless they pick up another delegation, which is possible in a couple states) are at only 25 delegations.

THAT blocks them (they need 26 votes) from electing Trump in the House in the event that the EC is a 269-269 tie. There are around 10 or so remotely possible electoral maps where that can happen, and over half are not at all impossible, not even improbable.

[Celerity]

3. well, barring some new HUGE scandal with mail in ballots (which is going down as I type this)

this went poorly
we lost FL-15

and then the Rethugs also flipped FL-26 and FL-27

but this new scandal (27% of mail in ballots were supposed not delivered by USPS due to DeJoy ignoring a court order) may still change some of it

[SheltieLover]

2. K&R!