We knew the polls will get closer........

[a kennedy]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/16/politics/cnn-poll-biden-trump-august/index.html

[Hoyt]

1. Knew they would narrow, but that's getting close. I might have to ask for some Xanax.

[Thekaspervote]

2. Here's the only poll that counts

https://www.electoral-vote.com/

EC votes
Biden 373
Dotard 165

[LizBeth]

3. I just saw a poll today with Biden a 9 point lead.

[Thekaspervote]

7. There were 2 polls out today giving Biden a lead of 9-10 points and polling at 50%+

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100213914639

Breaking: New NBC-Wall Street Journal poll

Biden-Harris 50%

The Con-Mother's Boy 41%

Biden-Harris lead in all the issues

***Freshness Guaranteed**** YOU GOV LIKELY VOTER NAT'L POLL Biden 52% Trump 42%

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1PZk2TziNsU0tv0YI_77lY3RGnqM1eq9N/view

[LizBeth]

8. +1

[NJCher]

4. This should not be happening

Worst president ever and this is how the Democratic candidate polls?

[RDANGELO]

5. This poll is most likely an outlier.

[LenaBaby61]

16. This ☝🏻☝🏻☝🏻☝🏻☝🏻

[Proud Liberal Dem]

6. I suspect (or hope) this is an outlier

It just doesn’t jive with other recent polls and there doesn’t seem to be anything I can think of to point to that would even account for such a dramatic narrowing right now. Will wait to see if further polls support this.

[dweller]

9. so

they let Cohen out of prison ..
🤔


✌🏼

[still_one]

10. Other national polls from the WSJ etc. are showing a 9 point lead for Biden

[VMA131Marine]

11. Even with good statistical techniques...

There is a better than 1-in-3 chance that any single poll will have a measurement more than one standard deviation from the true value.

Note that 538 also gives the CNN poll a lower rating than the WSJ poll.

[helpisontheway]

12. I do not think this poll is an outlier

I
Think the race is tightening. Prior to this week several polls had Biden leading on the economy. Then this week I saw two polls with Trump leading. One showed Trump with a 2 pt lead and the other showed a 10 point lead. I don’t understand it. He has the lowest approval as any president. He has caused the death of 170,000 people, sucks at response to the pandemic, tweets out racist shit and he is still within 4 points of the Democratic nominee. I don’t know if Kamala hurt Biden with the people that wanted to vote for him but not Hillary. Or if this was always gonna happen. For some reason things that would destroy another politician’s career does not affect Trump at all. It is sickening..

[Thekaspervote]

13. See post #7

[Eid Ma Clack Shaw]

14. 33% People of Colour for Trump Suggests Outlier

Better than Dubya’s high watermark among that demographics from the last 50 years. Doesn’t seem likely to me.

[MFM008]

15. Bullshit

All polls are bullshit.

[Awsi Dooger]

17. Everything is fine as long as Biden leads among independents

That is the key category. Here is a recent article on the comparison to 2016:

https://morningconsult.com/2020/08/11/biden-trump-clinton-favorability-2020-polling/

There is not going to be a shift of Trump voters to Biden. Everyone should throw out that anecdotal crap right now. You can see from the link that 71% of Republicans have a "very unfavorable" view of Biden.