What are our chances of flipping the Senate blue?

[smirkymonkey]

I'm thinking of a backup plan here, just in case. I know some of you pay close attention to these races and wondering what your opinion or educated guess might be.

[Progressive Law]

1. I am hopeful - cautiously optimistic.

[mahina]

2. ...

https://www.democraticunderground.com/11003452

[smirkymonkey]

3. Thanks for that.

However, I guess I'm kind of lazy. I recognize some of those as seats we already have and a few that may be flipped, but I suppose I would like to know where it nets out R vs. D in the end.

I was hoping someone here had already done the work for us. I am sure someone has. I'm just too tired at this hour to figure it out.

But sincerely, thank you!

[smirkymonkey]

4. Kick for the morning crew.

Thanks all!

[RandySF]

5. Good, but work to be done.

I don't see a path to 51 (because I don't want to rely on winning a Dem VP) without at least 2 out of 3 in NC, IA and MT because we will likely lost the Alabama seat.

[smirkymonkey]

6. Thank you, Randy!

I appreciate your response to my post!

[dawg day]

7. If we win the senate, surely Biden wins?

Will there be boters who vote for Mark Kelly, and then for Trump? Anything is possible. But I'm hoping some of these senate candidates have their own coattails.

[judeling]

8. 3/5 or 60%

to 51

Arizona is close to a lock
Colorado pretty out of reach

Maine is very good a solid lead for Gidieon and also for Biden
North Carolina is leaning strongly (consistent if small leads for Cunningham and Biden and a strong lead for Cooper)

That's 50/50 with the Alabama loss

From there we need one from an increasing amount of possibilities. Iowa, Montana, Kansas, Alaska, South Carolina, Georgia, and even Texas.

Although you wont think so right now even Alabama is not really out of reach yet.