****GUARANTEED FRESH **** A + RATED ABC-WAPO POLL- Biden 54% Trump 43% *

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/context/washington-post-abc-news-poll-aug-12-15-2020/b16f1e30-c98f-4b77-ba12-9d4f0baddceb/

* About that B/C rated CNN poll. In it Biden was only beating Trump by 1 among indys. In the A + rated ABC-WAPO poll he's whupping Trump by seventeen points in that cohort

[beachbumbob]

1. media HAS to push a narrtive this election will be close, so no surprise here with CNN

[uponit7771]

2. NICE !! Still an RV low MOE national poll once the switch to likely voters low MOE polls that report

... double digits watch for Trump to frog nuke a city and blame MS13 or some shit.

No really, this guy is stupid and desperate

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. It's an LV poll.

[uponit7771]

6. Nope, last page is registered voters not likely voters

[HuskyOffset]

13. "frog nuke"?

When I read that I had a flashback to my ancient days of yore playing Marathon and the “BoBs” yelling “frog blast the vent core” as ran up to you and suicide bombed you.

[uponit7771]

14. Mortar sized nuclear bomb, yep ... scary shit

[JI7]

3. We have to work based on the CNN poll but use this abc/wp poll for motivation

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I was always taught an A+ is better than a B/C.

[Music Man]

8. I think his point was just working as if the worst data point available were true.

I think we're all aware that A+ is better than B/C. People just want to avoid heart break. I see no problem with the sentiment.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. You're right. Use the CNN poll for fear, the WAPO-ABC poll for hope.

[Music Man]

7. Excellent!

[Johnny2X2X]

9. CNN Poll was an outlier

Not every poll is perfect, I didn't think the CNN poll last month that had Biden up 14 was very realistic then either. It's certainly not Biden only +4.

This is the normal happenings of polls. Even the best polls can have wonky data from time to time. CNN doesn't have a narrative to fill by their data, they have a narrative to fill by how they report it. Tightening is accurate if you ojly look at their poll, but it could have been looked at more accurately if they talked about the other polls this weekend. Biden +9 in A+ rates Poll, Biden +11, Biden +13 in A+ rated poll.

Going to be a roller coaster, Trump trying to steal the election is more impacting than on outlier poll.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. I'm avoiding CNN so I don't have their outlier poll shoved in my face.

[Happy Hoosier]

15. I don't have issues with outliers, but...

I hate it when news organizations push their polls as THE narrative.

Some are learning otherwise, but many still push their own as the only authoritative poll.

[denem]

12. ABC-WAPO is an A+ poll

CNN/SSRS is B/C according to 538.

[Camaromjr]

16. The Disruption to the USPS is a Wild Card

I just spent 15 minutes reading and digesting a bit of fivethirtyeight.com's data driven information. While there is no doubt that Biden seems to hold a solid lead, there are factors that can lead to a stranger outcome. The unknown factor is the blatant election fraud being run through the USPS. This could be a major disruption and I don't know and didn't read how to account for this fully. It is a big deal. It is one that has to be addressed. Vans for voters to mail boxes??? In a pandemic?? Hopefully, there are some smart folks already game planning this out (I am not one of those).