The polls in August 2016.

[safeinOhio]

Clinton was up by 3.2 percent and then went on to win the popular vote. Now it is more like 8 to 10% Biden.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

[enough]

1. Lots of interesting info at that link, thanks. NT

[JustAnotherGen]

2. Thank you - excellent reference eom

[ProfessorGAC]

3. That Included The Convention Bumps

Both conventions were long over by this date in 2016. Republics was over nearly a month, DNC was over for more than 2 weeks.
Not sure these virtual conventions will provide the normal bump. The whole thing might be flatter this year!
And, you're point about her lead and final result is important.
90,000 people in 2 states change their vote and PINO never wins.
Last point: HRC never had a lead with a number over 50, except in binary polls. This is a very different set of circumstances.

[safeinOhio]

5. Back then in Michigan there were

many that voted a straight Democratic ticket, but left out a vote for President. I'm seeing the opposite this year with many Michigan republicans not voting for anyone for President. That along with the polls for Michigan showing Biden up by 8 to 10 points.

[still_one]

4. CNN is saying their SSRS pollster, (B/C rating) shows a significant decrease for Biden, only up

4%, while the others pollsters are showing more like 8 to 10% in their national polls in favor of Biden. These are National POLLS

Because that SSRS poll seems significantly out of line compared to the other pollsters, it looks more like an outlier poll

The important thing is nothing can be taken for granted, and getting out the vote is critical, which we are all well aware of here on DU

[Squinch]

7. 538 shows support increasing for Donny Bodybags. I am disgusted and terrified.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

[still_one]

8. Approval ratings don't necessarily correlate to votes, and in my view it is too ambiguous

Sometimes they try to separate them into various categories, such as dealing with the economy, pandemic, etc.

[Squinch]

10. You're right! I have been watching the trump approval from habit, but searched out this, and I

feel somewhat better:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/

43% is still nauseating, but much better when viewed against the 51.3%. 10 more percent difference, and I may start sleeping at night!

[Thekaspervote]

13. 3 polls out in the last 24 hrs with much better ratings beg to differ

NBC/WSJ
Biden 50%
dotard 41%

YOU/GOV
Biden 52%
dotard 42%

ABC/WAPO
Biden 52%
dotard 40%

[still_one]

14. It appears to be an outlier. As I have mentioned elsewhere, I am not a fan of national polls anyway

[OrlandoDem2]

6. I believe Biden/Harris need to attack Trump on his one "strength". He polls well on the economy.

Voters still see him as strong on running the economy.

That’s a joke and Biden needs to go in for the kill.

Bottom line he must talk JOBS!!

Rick Scott and Robert DeSantis both did that. Media could ask them about the color of the sky and they’d pivot to jobs. Biden could go for the jugular by taking Trump’s one relative strength left. Peel away a few percent and we have a historic win for Democrats up and down the ballot while the GOP is crippled for a decade.

[still_one]

9. What is the measure of the economy to those people? Is it the stock market? The stock market

isn't the economy, and economy isn't the stock market

[OrlandoDem2]

11. I can't directly answer your question and I agree with your assertion.

People want jobs and unemployment was low. Of course, when you strip all regulations and let business destroy the environment that may happen. I also a suspect the market plays a role into perception. Whatever the case I say Joe should tackle that head on somehow.

[still_one]

12. You will hear that message during the Convention I believe, and after the Convention is when the

campaigning will go into full drive