*Battleground Wisconsin* Biden 49% Trump 43%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Link to tweet

[Blue Owl]

1. Little Donny is feeling down in the Trumps

[Tech]

2. Trumo, Pence, and Eric are all making appearances in WI. Wonder if that will help them?

[jorgevlorgan]

3. Reminder that clinton had a 6.5% average in RCP on election day

I won't be comfortable until this number is 15-20%.

[mucifer]

7. In Wisconsin? I know it's not enough now. But, curious was that a Wisc number?

[jorgevlorgan]

15. Yeah. 46.8-40.3

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5976.html

As the comment below yours points out, she never really even got close to 50%, so that's a really good sign for Biden.

[Drunken Irishman]

11. Clinton also was only polling, on average, at 46.8% in Wisconsin.

Trump was at 40.3%, which means there were nearly 13% of voters either going third party or undecided.

With this poll, Biden is at 49.8% and Trump is at 43.4%. That means there's only 7% who are undecided or voting third party. But that's a significant dip from four years ago (especially since it's August).

Biden is essentially at 50% on average. Clinton was well below 50%, which hurt her as Trump won the undecided vote at the end.

[jorgevlorgan]

16. I think that's a big deal.

It's scary though -if they are able to close the gap entirely, it will be a nailbiter again.

[Drunken Irishman]

17. I think Wisconsin will be close but not nail-biter close.

Trump is in a different position now than he was four years ago: as an unpopular incumbent, it's harder to win over those undecided voters. I think that's why polls are so favorable to Biden this go around - not just by margin but by total undecideds being well below where we were even on election eve.

I also suspect Hillary was dinged by the Comet letter, which shifted those undecideds either to the third party or Trump. I really have a tough time envisioning anything that can happen with Biden that will rival that mess with the Comey letter.

[jorgevlorgan]

18. Yeah I think youre right

And spot on with this part

not just by margin but by total undecideds being well below where we were even on election eve.

That gives me hope, thanks!

[BannonsLiver]

4. Steady as she goes.

[BGBD]

5. In line

with an ~8 point national lead.

[Awsi Dooger]

6. Age 45-64 continues to be the problem

In Wisconsin and everywhere else. It's such a huge slice of the electorate, basically 40% in Wisconsin.

These numbers are very familiar to Wisconsin 2016 except seniors have switched to Biden after narrowly favoring Trump last time. Of course, it's a different block of seniors, as often mentioned.

The one thing I don't understand is how the male vote has shifted sharply toward Biden from Wisconsin 2016 but females retain the same 10 point edge as Hillary received. There should be at least some dance steps together.

Trump is held up in Wisconsin by atypical loyalty from Republicans and conservatives. The 6% loss among Republicans and 11% among conservatives are both identical to how he fared in the 2016 exit poll, and both are lower than other swing states plus the national numbers.

[Squinch]

10. They know that without Wisconsin, they have no shot. So they're working it hard.

A Wisconsin DUer pointed out on Sunday that a Sunday morning news show had 3 trump ads and no Joe ads.

We need to fix that and match and exceed all their other efforts in the state.

[Awsi Dooger]

19. I've seen the same urgency in Florida for years

The GOP knows they need this state so the emphasis is year round. This year has been quiet but there were Trump canvassers this afternoon in my suburban neighborhood.

It's the first time I've seen them since coronavirus began. I shooed him away without opening the door. But I did think it was amusing I had spread lots of Holly Tone earlier in the afternoon.. That stuff smells to heck and he had to stand out there amidst it while waiting for me to arrive.

[Squinch]

20. Lol! I don't quite know what Holly Tone is, but I think you should follow the Trump

canvassers and sprinkle it in their path. Like rose petals from a flower girl!

[Kamala4TheWin]

8. Biden needs to make his speech in Wisconsin scinsin

even if it’s in an empty room. Don’t understand the strategy of speaking from Delaware

[BannonsLiver]

12. LOL

[Squinch]

9. Wisconsin is absolutely essential. I'd feel better with more than 6%. If we don't take

Wisconsin, it gives Donny Bodybags a path to win. We cannot have that.

We need to flood that state.

[uponit7771]

14. K&R, good thing is the poll is LV and low MOE REALLY hard to get out of +5% up with now

[uponit7771]

13. WTF is wrong with GENx !?!! 45 - 64 breaking hard to Red Don? This is sKrange