*ARIZONA SHOCK POLL* Mark Kelly 53% Martha McSadface 34%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-16-to-19-august/

[sheshe2]

1. Go MARK!

[Thekaspervote]

2. Happy dance 💃

[msongs]

3. if the kelly supporters would all vote for joe... nt

[jorgevlorgan]

5. I have a feeling most will.

[MFGsunny]

11. + 1000 n/t

[jorgevlorgan]

4. Hopefully Biden could get some coattails out of that!

[ananda]

7. Lol -- exactly!

This is good news!

[Drunken Irishman]

9. The same poll has Biden +9...not near the margin but that is a biiiig margin for Biden.

[jorgevlorgan]

12. I like that.

Go Joe!

[LisaL]

6. Doesn't surprise me.

[BGBD]

8. Is it really that shocking?

Plenty of polls have given Kelly a huge lead in this. Maybe not 19, but hell, had to expect it to come at some point.

She's an appointed Senator, who lost a race for Senate 2 years ago, in the party of a President who has a -20 approval rating, in a state trending against her party, and she's running against an astronaut.

I mean, she's toast.

[LisaL]

10. And he is well known, and an astronaut.

With a well known wife.

[Demsrule86]

18. McSalley is nasty,rude...and a piece of shit. She is just a bad candidate.

[paleotn]

13. I figured from the start Kelly would be damn hard to beat....

Seriously....how do you campaign against a well known, well liked, very respected...freaking astronaut?! He's Republican kryptonite.

[Laelth]

14. +1 n/t

-Laelth

[DesertRat]

15. Not really shocking here in AZ

McSally's nickname is "McAppointed" because Gov. Ducey appointed her to McCain's seat after she lost her Senate race to Kyrsten Sinema.

Mark Kelly and wife Gabby Giffords have strong support here. I feel optimistic that he will win and for the first time Arizona will be represented by 2 Democratic Senators.

[BannonsLiver]

17. Does it feel like a double digit lead on the ground?

I;m kind of excited about making some noise in AZ on the senate and prez levels.

[DesertRat]

20. Yes, it does

Kelly seems to have broad appeal, while McSally is only seen as a trump puppet. And she was already rejected by voters.

[Awsi Dooger]

16. Arizona is the fastest evolving state I've ever seen

2012: 39% conservatives 19% liberals
2016: 41% conservatives 27% liberals

Compare to the nation itself, which required 20 years for a 6-2 net in the same direction:

1996: 33% conservatives 20% liberals
2016: 35% conservatives 26% liberals

States spinning this quickly are really difficult to figure out, in terms of where the spoke will stop this cycle. I'm not 100% confident the polling model is accurate. That is often the case in a newly competitive state. Regardless, if Trump's approval is terrible and Ducey's approval is terrible, the bottom line should cooperate

[Initech]

19. Go Arizona!!! You can do it!!!