I keep hearing the polls are neck and neck and it's going to be a

[doc03]

close election. But according to the Economist it is predicting Biden 347 to Trump 191 electoral votes and they give Biden an 88% chance of winning and Trump at 12%. I don't know how this site has done in the past but it gives a more optimistic view of the election than Nate Silver or the MSM.

https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

[FarPoint]

1. Never, ever underestimate corruption from tRump and his minions.

I want a full force voting assault this Election....No wiggle room, landside voting if we can even cast a vote....

[doc03]

5. I agree Trump has to be crushed and once he is out of office he has

to be totally discredited. The Democrats need to pursue every legal case there is against him. Trump has to go down as the most corrupt incompetent president in history or we may have Jr. next time.

[FarPoint]

20. Our Democratic Campaign is in critical care management level...

It is mandatory for survival.

[Tom Traubert]

8. Never underestimate the number of bigots

Who are ashamed to admit that they’ll vote for Trump when asked but will cast their votes for him when the election comes.

[DinahMoeHum]

2. Keep on pushing as though you're either 2 points behind. . .

. . .or 2 points ahead.

some advice from the ragin' Cajun James Carville.

[secondwind]

3. We should behave as if we were 5 points down, from now

until Election Day.

[WePurrsevere]

4. I'd much rather people think the election was close than....

think Biden would win easily. Overconfidence isn't motivating and we NEED a much higher number voting for BIDEN to overcome the cheating that is being done by the 'Con and Putin.

Plus I want the message to be loud and clear, with a friggin' BLUE tsunami, that the vast majority of Americans do NOT approve of all the horrid BS Trump, his enablers, this RW 'Con party and Cult45 are pulling.

[spanone]

6. Did they factor in the russian cheating and the destruction of the post office?

[doc03]

7. Agree with all we can't have this "She got this" and "Your concern is noted"

that many of us got back in 2016. On the bright side all the Republicans I know which is just about everyone around here are
claiming Trump will win in a landslide, I hope that suppresses their vote.

[RazzleCat]

9. most important, are the polls based on people who vote, or on what

people who don't vote say.

I live in an area that's pretty red, don't think for one minute that Trumps supporters have left him. Don't think that the mail in ballots will not be contested. Don't think that what people say is what they will do. This election will be closer than you think.

I hope its a Biden blow out, I assume its going to go down to one state such as Florida.

[still_one]

12. I agree with your assessment. It may very likely come down to one of several states, but we

only need one of them to win the electoral college

[still_one]

10. predictions are NOT the election. The polls indicate that the race is tightening up.

The republicans strategy is to label the looting and violence as part of the protests. That is a LIE

The Democrats, Civil Rights leaders, and the BLM movement has made it clear that the looting and violence is NOT part of the their protests or movement, and in fact many of those involved in the violence and looting are part of outside right wing groups

Pence tried to associate the killing of a DHS guard in Oakland with the BLM movement. THAT WAS LIE. The person who killed the DHS guard is part of the Boogaloo Boys, a far-right anti-government extremist movement. That same person was also charged with the killing of two Santa Cruz law enforcement people.

The Democrats need to call the republicans out on these lies, and they need to do it strongly and repeatedly.

The fact that an incumbent president has to campaign in states that were once thought a sure win for him, indicates they are in trouble. That is why they are working so hard to suppress the vote, lie, and distort the facts. We have to all push back on this

[Squinch]

11. This. We need to be a lot louder about these things. And then there's this:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=13991459

[still_one]

13. I am not surprised, and have always been concerned with the "undecided" voter

[Squinch]

14. The numbers are bigger than I thought though.

[still_one]

15. This should be a motivating factor to get Democrats out to vote, and the fact that so many

republicans have publicly come out endorsing Biden/Harris is a positive sign

but nothing can be taken for granted. Never could be

[Squinch]

16. Absolutely. Our lives depend on what we do between now and November.

[radius777]

19. +1. Trump is the source of the violence and Dems need to pound this.

Biden was strong yesterday when he said 'Trump is rooting for violence.. this is Donald Trump's America.. throwing gasoline on the fire.'

This is exactly the correct angle - turn it around and blame him for it - he is the president and swing voters always blame those in power.

Everyone knows (even many who support him) that he is the divider-in-chief who is the source of anger and division in this country

We need to pound this message: Trump divisive/responsible for chaos and covid / Biden calm and empathetic who will restore sanity and decency. Biden and Harris also have law and order records and are the farthest thing from 'anarchy'.

[still_one]

21. No doubt about it. Biden and Harris have to keep repeating that message at every opportunity

That is why I don't understand why some are saying Biden shouldn't debate trump. I think it is imperative for him to do so. The opportunity to call out his lies to his face is important for all to see

[OrlandoDem2]

17. We must work harder. Volunteer for your local DNC, Democratic legislators/congress person.

Do not pass go. Go directly to one of these offices and signup to volunteer!

[beachbumbob]

18. the mysterious "I hear some polls" posting, I heard democrats were going to lose house seats in 2018

according to "some polls"

[BlueJac]

22. Just out number the Trumpians at the polls.

Gotv.

[MoonRiver]

23. It's a conservative but honest and reliable periodical.

[kentuck]

24. Should we pay any attention to the polls this time around?

People just need to vote, by mail or in person, or drop their ballot in a drop box. Just vote.

[dalton99a]

25. Ignore all polls. GOTV

[Alacritous Crier]

26. All that matters at this point is GOTV!!

[lostnfound]

27. Nate Silver predicted Hillary would win with 301 electoral votes

https://time.com/4561625/electoral-college-predictions/

Moody’s predicted 332.
LATimes 352.

[Thekaspervote]

28. I trust the economist, I do not trust 538 anymore!

Nate Silver is a self proclaimed libertarian and is no longer doing unbiased accurate polling.
https://www.commondreams.org/views/2019/10/30/nate-silver-making-he-goes

Also look at moody analytics. They have accurately predicted every election correctly since 1980, less 2016

[llashram]

29. MSM needs a horserace

to keep those advertising $$$ rolling in and those ratings high. Plus CEO's of the major MSM outlets, what political party are they allied to? All I have to think about is trumps Facebook BFF Z=Suckerberg

[treestar]

30. The media has to have it neck and neck

To maximize their ratings and get people watching.

[BlueWavePsych]

31. 538 is playing it safe.

When 538 shows Biden favored to win, it is 72% or higher. Under 71%, 538 gives '45' a 1/3 chance, per their simulations.

Mathematically, if you have a 1/3 chance to win, accepting a 'double or nothing' challenge improves your odds of winning the war over 1000s of battles. As such, 538 shows Biden only 'slightly favored' at 69% or thereabouts. JMHO

[littlemissmartypants]

32. NEVER EVER EVER depend on polls ¡ ! ¡ ! ¡ !

It's GOTV time.

All polls are garbage polls.

The only thing that we can count on is actual voters.

It's all about the GOTV push now.

❤ lmsp

[struggle4progress]

33. Treat it like it's going to be close: that is, work your butt off for our side