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question everything

(47,486 posts)
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 01:27 PM Aug 2020

I think that Smerconish survey question is the core of the elections

https://www.smerconish.com/survey-question

Which will have a greater impact on election outcome?

Covid

Civil Unrest

I think that Democrats will choose Covid, while the Rs - Civil Unrest.

So far Covid wins but, from my limited experience, he has more Democrats viewers, based on previous surveys.

But I suppose the BLM supporters may choose Civil Unrest..



12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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rso

(2,271 posts)
1. Smerconish
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 01:34 PM
Aug 2020

Actually, I think Smerconish is more of a Republican than a Democrat. I know he tries hard to demonstrate neutrality, but after watching him for years I think he’s really a moderate republican.

question everything

(47,486 posts)
3. Perhaps, but judging by responses to his surveys, the results indicate Democratic viewership
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 01:38 PM
Aug 2020

Last week the survey was whether Biden's acceptance speech put to rest any doubt about his mental ability - or something like that - and I think that 80% said YES.

Totally Tunsie

(10,885 posts)
11. Questions of that ilk always disturb me.
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 03:43 PM
Aug 2020

Last edited Sat Aug 29, 2020, 09:04 PM - Edit history (1)

Hopefully, I'll be able to explain clearly what I mean by that.

With an "open" question such as that, you may be getting two polar opposite reasonings giving you the same "yes" answer.

First, you can get the "yes" from those who believe his speech solidified the confidence of the respondent, and this is an straight affirmative answer.

HOWEVER, you may also get "yes" answer to this from respondents who feel that Joe's speech solidified a negative impression about him, but the question answer would still be "yes", as in "yes, my doubt is put to rest and his speech tells me he's a terrible candidate".

Thus, that survey question has the ability to be both positive and negative, and answers nothing. I've noticed over time that a lot of Smerconish's surveys contain the same flaw.

Demsrule86

(68,585 posts)
7. Smerconish has never been neutral and is GOP all the way...still supports Trump. Covid and the
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 02:00 PM
Aug 2020

economy will get Trump kicked out. He is the president, the civil unrest is on him.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
2. Civil Unrest is best shot trump has, along with promoting racism and bigotry. That's just a fact.
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 01:37 PM
Aug 2020

Hopefully, it's not enough. But if things get worse, it will help trump to some degree.

question everything

(47,486 posts)
12. And this is why I think that Trump will win Wisconsin, again
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 08:55 PM
Aug 2020

with the help of the Republican controlled legislature that continuously is tying the Democratic governor's hands.

And now, I am afraid that Minnesota will be lost, too.

abqtommy

(14,118 posts)
4. It's no surprise that Democrats and reTHUGS would choose differing talking points and
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 01:46 PM
Aug 2020

tactics. But with help from the reTHUGS themselves the rest of us will crush them at the polls!

peggysue2

(10,830 posts)
8. We've all been given a heads up
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 02:03 PM
Aug 2020

The Republicans have decided civil unrest is their best strategy, the whole Law&Order meme, to pound the Biden/Harris ticket. Protestors are now being referred to as 'thugs.' Vigilantes like Rittenhouse are labeled 'heroes.'

Be afraid, be very afraid is the ongoing motto.

Dems need to repeat endlessly that this is Trump's America, where racial injustice and police brutality are on the rise, where vigilantism = lawlessness and--like Covid-19--this is all happening on Trump's watch. The bodies are piling up.

We are at war.

gulliver

(13,186 posts)
9. I detest Smerconish (who plays both sides of every issue)
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 02:10 PM
Aug 2020

I think the Dems should be on the offensive, both on civil unrest and on COVID. Trump handed political success to racism, causing civil unrest, and biological success to COVID-19, causing many tens of thousands of excess deaths (so far). We need to build back better, just like our slogan says.

Yavin4

(35,441 posts)
10. Easy - Covid
Sat Aug 29, 2020, 02:12 PM
Aug 2020

Covid affects everyone. When you have to pull your kid out of school at minute's notice because of outbreaks, you're not going to be concerned about protests in Portland. Civil unrest is only in a few places despite Fox News' b-roll.

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