The New Yorker on Trump's scare tactics:

[CaliforniaPeggy]

https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/trumps-scare-tactics-havent-worked-against-biden-so-far-could-that-change?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=tny&utm_mailing=TNY_Daily_082920&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&bxid=5df969e7954fcf1853569dd0&cndid=59415923&hasha=e6d99470f2be9f1757ca234d98420b03&hashb=4ad9e8e0e66f39f3aa67c60b0216b8709ae176b1&hashc=eda1a2e8c8a89ffa7bed84dc538fe3993f6ca3351d3bfdea44755e42f843a2c9&esrc=Auto_Subs&utm_term=TNY_Daily

Campaigning in New Hampshire on Friday, Donald Trump escalated his attacks on Joe Biden, the Democratic Party, and the protesters demonstrating against police brutality and racism. “Today’s Democrat Party is filled with hate,” he said. “Just look at Joe Biden supporters on the street screaming and shouting at bystanders with unhinged, manic rage.” Referring to protests that took place in New York and Chicago earlier in the summer, he said, “They are not protesters. Those are anarchists, they are agitators, they are rioters, they are looters.”

In the wake of this past week’s Republican National Convention, Trump’s strategy couldn’t be more clear. With the death toll from the coronavirus pandemic topping a hundred and eighty thousand in the U.S., and opinion polls showing him running well behind Biden, the President is trying to transform the election from a referendum on his own abject performance to a contest centered on Biden, radical Democrats, and unrest in the streets. That was the central thrust of the four nights of programming at the R.N.C., including the speeches that Trump and Vice- President Mike Pence gave.

It’s no mystery why the Trump campaign has adopted this strategy: desperation. So far, the central fact about the 2020 campaign has been its stability, at least according to the polls. In mid-March, after Joe Biden effectively wrapped up the Democratic nomination, he was leading Trump by 6.4 percentage points in the Real Clear Politics national poll average. Today, the R.C.P. poll average shows Biden ahead by 7.1 percentage points. Although individual polls have zigged up and down quite a bit, the over-all pattern has been remarkably steady.

It’s been so steady, in fact, that The Economist’s Presidential forecasting model, which combines polling results with fundamental factors, such as the state of the economy, now puts the probability of a Biden victory at eighty-eight per cent. FiveThirtyEights’s forecasting model, which is constructed differently and factors in more uncertainty, puts the probability of Biden winning at sixty-nine per cent. Both models indicate that a Trump defeat is by far the most likely outcome. Still, many Democrats are nervous, and for understandable reasons, including skepticism about the polls; concerns about the Republicans’ built-in advantage in the Electoral College; and fears that Trump’s scaremongering could strengthen his position among some key voting groups, particularly seniors and suburban women.

The whole article at the link.

[Faux pas]

1. Kickin'

[pwb]

2. People have stopped listening to Trump.

No one wants his or his crazy families advice on anything. Woman are a lost cause for pukes forever.

[Thekaspervote]

3. +1000