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berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 03:39 PM Sep 2012

For those new to Polling Terminology...

Here is a helpful guide.

When a race is tied, the Republican has an edge and likely voters are cited as to why.

When a Democrat leads by 5 points or less, the race is tied.

When a Democrat leads by 6-9 points, the Democrat has an edge.

When a Democrat leads by more than 9 points, the poll goes unreported.

When a Republican leads by 5 points or less, the Republican has a significant lead.

When a Republican leads by 6-9 points, the Republican has a commanding lead.

When a Republican leads by more than 9 points, it's a mandate. This term may also be used if the Republican wins by any margin.

Familiarity with these terms will mitigate stress when seeing them used by the media.

Inspired by http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/09/24/polls-give-obama-the-edge-in-pennsylvania/?hpt=po_c2

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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For those new to Polling Terminology... (Original Post) berni_mccoy Sep 2012 OP
k&R nt abelenkpe Sep 2012 #1
Funny! NYC_SKP Sep 2012 #2
You forgot just one proviso frazzled Sep 2012 #3
Hilarious! cyberswede Sep 2012 #4
One more - If a newish DUer posts a poll showing Romney ahead/tied/ whatever... DURHAM D Sep 2012 #5
That pretty much sums it up. HopeHoops Sep 2012 #6
+ Infinity! Odin2005 Sep 2012 #7

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
3. You forgot just one proviso
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 03:50 PM
Sep 2012

When a Democratic candidate maintains a lead of more than 9 points in a state, the pollster may label that state "Leans Democrat" in their electoral map.
When a Republican candidate maintains a lead of more than 9 points in a state, the pollster may color it deep, dark, saturated red.

Citation from your link: Pennsylvania is rated as "Lean Obama" in CNN's Electoral Map.

cyberswede

(26,117 posts)
4. Hilarious!
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 03:51 PM
Sep 2012

...oh wait...if this had been written by a Republican, it would be hilarious.

Since you're not one, it's only amusing.

DURHAM D

(32,610 posts)
5. One more - If a newish DUer posts a poll showing Romney ahead/tied/ whatever...
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 04:03 PM
Sep 2012

when all the other polls show Obama winning the state he/she is just "concerned".

This also applies to long time DUers who post nothing but negative stories/polls.

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