Why Four Pivotal Swing States Likely Won't Be Called On Election Night

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

The 2020 election is already underway in several states, but that doesn’t mean the rules aren’t still changing. (We’re tracking them all here.) In the past eight days alone, four important swing states have tentatively extended the deadline by which mail ballots must be received.

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that ballots can arrive as late as Nov. 6 and still count as long as no evidence (e.g., a postmark) exists that they were mailed after Election Day (Nov. 3).

A state judge in Michigan decreed that ballots can be counted as long as they are postmarked by the day before the election (Nov. 2) and received by Nov. 17.

A federal judge ordered Wisconsin to count absentee ballots that are postmarked by Nov. 3 as long as they arrive by Nov. 9.

And North Carolina reached a tentative court settlement with plaintiffs that, among other things, would allow ballots to count as long as they are postmarked by Nov. 3 and arrive by Nov. 12. (However, the settlement still needs to be approved by a judge before it officially goes into effect.)

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-pennsylvania-michigan-wisconsin-north-carolina-likely-wont-be-called-on-election-night/

The corpulent creep isn't going to like this.

[DonaldsRump]

1. But Trump will try to use this to his advantage to sow fear and doubt

I am so hoping that the EV numbers for Joe are so great that any delay in any state past the night of November 3/morning of November 4 won't change his victory.

Otherwise, Infector Boi will create doubt as to the results at very possible opportunity.

[33taw]

2. After experiencing first hand what happened in WI in April, I will not trust any court rulings that

have not been ruled on by the US Supreme Court. That ruling the night before the election moved up the due date by a week. The ruling also unexpectedly resulted in overwhelming support from Democrats coming to the polls on Election Day to support the liberal justice candidate. I personally had to hand deliver my ballot on Election Day to to a national guardsmen -which I gladly did.

Please vote early and make sure to use paper ballots. Republicans hate paper ballots because the have an audit trail - automated voting stations do not. Also, either personally deliver your ballot or verify that it has been received in enough time to remedy any issues.

[Blue_true]

14. People that vote by mail should take a photo of their filled out ballot, making

sure that their voter ID number is clear in the picture of who they voted for President.

[Drunken Irishman]

3. If Biden wins WI, PA & MI by his current average, they'll be called on election night.

Right now, Biden leads by an average of 6.6 points in Wisconsin.

That's about .34 points less than Obama in 2012.

Obama won Wisconsin by over 210,000 votes.

Turnout will likely be up, so Biden, with that percentage, would be up 220,000 votes or so with that margin.

Very improbable that there would be 200,000+ outstanding ballots that could come in.

[regnaD kciN]

4. Except it's been estimated that 50% of Democrats will vote by mail...

So it’s conceivable that, even with those poll numbers, Twitler will be up by 60%-40% or more there on Election Night.

[jorgevlorgan]

8. Depending on the workforce and volunteers they have, there

Will be a lot of those votes still counted on election day. But we hope that mi, pa and wi are not the deciders of this race again. If Biden loses FL and NC, it will be very bad. We will also know whether he does win on election day unless those states are super close. Ohio will also likely be an early call based on in person and mail ballots that are counted super early as well.

[PRETZEL]

9. I think what will happen

will be most of the networks will go with the "too close to call" all night.

They're not going to put themselves in a bad position.

[Fiendish Thingy]

5. We should know FL results election night - if Biden wins FL, it's all over. Nt

[iemitsu]

11. Florida cheats in elections.

I hope there is a landslide for Biden.

[crickets]

12. This. Vote in numbers to large to allow cheating! nt

[iemitsu]

13. Yep. I will vote and encourage everyone I know to do so also.

But my vote won't be counted or cast aside in Florida.

[tman]

6. Isn't going to like it? This works to trumps advantage.

[jorgevlorgan]

7. They are wrong about NC

They start counting mail votes weeks in advance. They will release those counts as soon as polls close. Unless it is close, we will know who won North Carolina on election day, because the late counted votes aren't likely to make a huge dent to matter.

[Thekaspervote]

10. FBI issues PSA contradicting trump that winner has to be called the night of the election

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214125912

Other experts besides 538 seem to feel it won’t be a problem

Link to tweet

?s=21

[Drunken Irishman]

15. I've said this for weeks. People don't seem to believe me.

I get that there will be outstanding ballots for those who mailed their ballots on election day, or the day before, but at the margins Biden is looking at in some of these states, that would result in a 150-250,000 vote lead. It's hard to believe there would be 100,000 = let alone that many, outstanding ballots.

[judeling]

16. Yes, but hyping the red mirage is good

the more people get accustomed to the idea that we may have to wait the better. If it gets called for Biden election night that will make it even stronger.

[Demsrule86]

18. Ohio is in play...if he loses Ohio...the large woman will sing and sing.