538 Election Forecast Biden 78% Trump 21%

[Johnny2X2X]

State polls have been excellent for Biden lately. I expect this to be 80-19 by next week.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

[TheRealNorth]

1. It also appears that their Senate forecast has moved in our favor

[Johnny2X2X]

3. Santorum last night put it nicely

"If I were a Republican running for office in this country, I would be furious with Trump right now."

Trump just cost Republican candidates across the country millions of votes combined. Millions of Republicans that were intending to vote for the GOP all up and down the ticket will stay home because of last night. Not cult members, but the moderates, the moderates are who most of these Senate hopefuls were counting on.

Trump destroyed Reps up and down the ticket last night.

[Amishman]

5. its been bouncing between 50.6 and 50.7 seats for a week or more

I check it far more often than is probably healthy

[BlueWavePsych]

2. That's actually 79% since Drumpf is at 21%

[Happy Hoosier]

4. It accounts for....

the very small possibility that neither candidate wins enough electoral votes.

[Jose Garcia]

6. The 538 Election Forecast had Hillary 88% Trump 12% in October of 2016

Don't get overconfident and complacent.

[Hela]

7. This, absolutely, but also...

[Fiendish Thingy]

8. By late October it was 66/33 nt

[BlueWavePsych]

9. Ofcourse, we need a landslide of in-person votes.

That said, 538 has tweaked their algo and is more conservative and likely more accurate.
The closer to Nov 3, the more accurate it gets too.

[obamanut2012]

10. It ended with her at 71.6% because of Comey

And, turnout was much, much lower than expected.

This is not 2016.