Ohio now rated a 'toss-up' state as both campaigns schedule major TV ad purchases
Welcome back, battleground Ohio.
Considered a GOP state by many after giving Donald Trump an 8-point victory in 2016 and choosing Republicans for all statewide executive offices in 2018, one of the nation's most respected political prognosticators has officially moved the Buckeye State into "toss-up" status for the 2020 presidential race.
As a seeming confirmation, the campaigns of both former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are launching major TV ad buys next week as Ohioans begin early voting.
Yes, that means your screens are going to be filled with campaign ads just like in previous election cycles when the battleground status of Ohio was never in doubt.
The change, says Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, comes "both because of the broad improvements Biden has made with white voters in many different places and also because of more recent polling showing the presidential race very competitive in each state.... Operatives on both sides in Ohio have found the president struggling mightily in key suburban areas."
Biden might be "turning back the clock slightly to 2012" with Midwestern states such as Ohio and Iowa "are better targets than those emerging battlefields of the Sun Belt."
Other political gurus are finding the same thing. "Biden is winning back some of the Obama-Trump white working-class voters who flocked to Trump four years ago," said Nate Silver in FiveThirtyEight.com.
https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/politics/2020/10/01/ohio-now-rated-toss-up-state-both-campaigns-plan-major-tv-ads-for-donald-trump-and-joe-biden/5877348002/