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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWisconsin is the new tipping point state in the 538 model.
Nate's model now indicates that Joe is now in a stronger position to win Pennsylvania than Wisconsin.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
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Wisconsin is the new tipping point state in the 538 model. (Original Post)
RandySF
Oct 2020
OP
If we lost WI and AZ possible 269-269 tie. We would lose because of house delegations.
njhoneybadger
Oct 2020
#3
BGBD
(3,282 posts)1. WI and PA
are basically even, with PA being slightly more likely to win, so WI gets the TP designation in the model.
It will likely flip back and forth for a bit as more polls change odds on the margins.
Indykatie
(3,697 posts)2. Makes Sense - I saw a couple polls Where Joe was +10 in PA
He seems to be stuck at +5 in Wisconsin. There were some big shifts in some states toward Joe last week so maybe his WI numbers will rise above +5.
njhoneybadger
(3,910 posts)3. If we lost WI and AZ possible 269-269 tie. We would lose because of house delegations.
Wanderlust988
(509 posts)4. But Biden is polling ahead quite a bit in NE-02 district
He won't lose that district. He'll get 270.
njhoneybadger
(3,910 posts)7. That's good, I'm still shell shocked from last time.
moonscape
(4,673 posts)5. What? Trump president with Kamala VP?
Can we time machine back and have a chat with the framers please?
Like now now.
Tennessee Hillbilly
(588 posts)6. Pennsylvania is a much bigger prize
Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes and Wisconsin only has 10.