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TexasTowelie

(112,520 posts)
Mon Oct 12, 2020, 07:11 AM Oct 2020

If Biden falters in the Midwest, Democrats are banking on Arizona as an insurance policy

PHOENIX -- Call it their fail-safe option.

If Joe Biden were to lose a critical Midwest battleground like Michigan or Wisconsin, Democrats are counting on Arizona to bail him out, acting as a potential replacement state with enough electoral power to prevent President Donald Trump’s re-election.

After Trump carried this emerging swing state by just over 91,000 votes four years ago, some Republicans are now already bracing for a defeat that could “cut deeply down the ballot,” as one GOP aide in state government put it.

With early voting now underway and Democrats consistently tracking Biden with a 3-to-4 point lead, the Trump campaign is planning additional visits here from the ticket as soon as this week, attempting to salvage a reliably red bastion as suburban women are turning away from the GOP in droves.

“It’s fairly close. If anybody has a slight polling advantage it would be Biden,” said Constantin Querard, a conservative political consultant in Phoenix, “but the Trump campaign is much stronger on the ground.”

Read more: https://www.thenewstribune.com/news/politics-government/election/article246377700.html
(Tacoma News Tribune)

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If Biden falters in the Midwest, Democrats are banking on Arizona as an insurance policy (Original Post) TexasTowelie Oct 2020 OP
BS.. The insurance they are going for is Texas Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 #1
If Biden loses any of those midwest 3, he ain't winning Arizona. sunonmars Oct 2020 #2
It's a long way to go rockfordfile Oct 2020 #3
polls have have only moved upward for Biden in the last 6 months, Trump has never led. sunonmars Oct 2020 #4
I disagree JonLP24 Oct 2020 #5
Michigan and Wisconsin are beyond trump's grasp to win, if Biden loses those states, he aint winning beachbumbob Oct 2020 #6

sunonmars

(8,656 posts)
2. If Biden loses any of those midwest 3, he ain't winning Arizona.
Mon Oct 12, 2020, 07:23 AM
Oct 2020

Not going to happen.

Everything at this point is pointing to a rout. Biden in much better shape than Clinton was in 2016 and Trump barely won then, this time, he's known and it aint pretty.

sunonmars

(8,656 posts)
4. polls have have only moved upward for Biden in the last 6 months, Trump has never led.
Mon Oct 12, 2020, 07:27 AM
Oct 2020

If the incumbent is lagging at this point, its only gotten worse and they have always gone on to lose.

JonLP24

(29,322 posts)
5. I disagree
Mon Oct 12, 2020, 07:30 AM
Oct 2020

Republicans have been barely winning Maricopa County in Presidential races and if Trump is bleeding in the suburbs. Bottom line if Trump loses the suburbs he loses Maricopa County then he loses Arizona. The North & South Arizona are solidly blue.

Arizona is one of the few states Hillary Clinton performed better than Obama in.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
6. Michigan and Wisconsin are beyond trump's grasp to win, if Biden loses those states, he aint winning
Mon Oct 12, 2020, 08:49 AM
Oct 2020

Arizona. Follow the money. Trump campaign pulling out

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