New Battleground State polls (Reuters/Ipsos, B-): Biden +8 MI, +7 PA, +7 WI, +4 FL, +2 AZ

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[SoonerPride]

1. I love seeing Biden above 50%

That is huge.

I also think he will win Arizona by more than 2%.

[dem4decades]

2. I thought AZ would have been better. With McCain's wife and all.

Kelley to.

[moonscape]

4. Same. 538 shows Biden +3.8 n/t

[Awsi Dooger]

8. Arizona polls are going to be all over the place

I mentioned that months ago. It always happens in a rapidly evolving state. Some firms use old models, other firms try to adjust toward a new estimate of the electorate

IMO, the very high Arizona margins were always wrong and should have been ignored. Bottom line that state still has 40-41% self-identified conservatives, although hopefully that will drop into high 30s this year

[Proud liberal 80]

3. Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

please just win those States, everything else (GA, FL, AZ, TX) is gravy. We just need those firewall States back.

[safeinOhio]

5. I have Biden up by 11 in Michigan.

[LAS14]

6. The most important thing to remember is that the undecided vote is miniscule...

... compared to the 15% in 2016. That's why we can sort of trust these polls.

[Bleacher Creature]

9. Great point.

Looking back, I don't remember a single battleground state poll in 2016 with Hillary at or above 50%. Rather, they were mostly in the 46-42 range, suggesting a good number of undecideds. This makes a lot of sense.

[greenjar_01]

7. Big news here is that Florida's getting away from Trump