21 days to go...my nightly election update

[NRaleighLiberal]

Last night -

538 - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

today's end of day numbers - Joe 86/100 chance of winning, 346 EVs, 53.5% of popular vote.

Sam Wang Princeton - https://election.princeton.edu/

today's end of day numbers - Joe metamargin +6.3, estimate 369 EVs.

The Economist - https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

today's end of day numbers - Joe 91/100 chance of winning, 345 EVs, currently at 54.2% of popular vote (predicting 53.9% on 11/3)

__________________________________________

Tonight -

538 end of day numbers Joe 87/100 chance of winning, 346 EVs. 53.5% popular vote

Princeton end of day - Joe metamargin +5.9, est 359 EVs

The Economist - end of day 91/100 chance of winning, 343 EVs, currently at 54.3% of popular vote.

Essentially holding stable. Stable is good.

Let's see where we are tomorrow night.

sleep well, friends.

[rso]

1. Biden

Great numbers, thanks.

[Thekaspervote]

2. Thx, these sights are the best indicators of the current state of the race

Biden has run an impeccable campaign! Of course, when you start with an impeccable candidate, hire the best campaign mngrs and staff, have a bazillion happy warriors to volunteer... it isn’t that hard. Or, maybe they just make it look that way

Kudos to Biden/Harris

[Poiuyt]

3. Thanks for the updates!

[NRaleighLiberal]

4. 538 has 347 EVs this AM. Let's see if it holds. will update tonight.