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JonLP24

(29,322 posts)
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 09:35 PM Oct 2020

Biden leads Trump by 17 points as election race enters final stage

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead over Donald Trump has surged to a record 17 points as the US election enters its final sprint, an Opinium Research and Guardian opinion poll shows.

Some 57% of likely voters intend to vote for Biden, while just 40% say they will vote for the incumbent president, the survey shows.

The 17-point gap is even bigger than than 57%-41% margin found by CNN earlier this month. It is just short of the lead in the popular vote that Ronald Reagan enjoyed in his second landslide victory in 1984. Four years later, Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis led George HW Bush by 17 points only to suffer defeat, but that poll was taken in July so Bush had ample time to recover.

With election day just three weeks away and millions of votes already cast, some Republicans fear a rout in the races for the presidency, Senate and House of Representatives. Ed Rollins, who advises a pro-Trump super political action committee, told the New York Times: “The president’s political environment is terrible. It’s an uphill battle.”

https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/13/election-poll-biden-leads-trump-17-points

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Biden leads Trump by 17 points as election race enters final stage (Original Post) JonLP24 Oct 2020 OP
Turnout turnout turnout underpants Oct 2020 #1
"It's cooked." dawg day Oct 2020 #2
Almost close enough to hold our breaths... jimlup Oct 2020 #3
Don't get complacent bgramer Oct 2020 #4
We need everyone to vote and encourage others to vote. OrlandoDem2 Oct 2020 #5
I can sense something VivaResitance Oct 2020 #6
posted this morning, several said it's an outlier. Would like it to be 17 pts! Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #7
I can't find Opinium/Guardian on 538's pollster ratings. Chichiri Oct 2020 #8
They don't have one - this is their first presidential election. Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #11
Yep, unrated by 538. All the A/B polls at 538 have Biden up by 8 to 10 groundloop Oct 2020 #19
Don't get complacent. GOTV BlueWavePsych Oct 2020 #9
Tell that to the people waiting hours to vote vercetti2021 Oct 2020 #13
I waited in line for 5 hours. Felt good (cathartic) to finally vote! BlueWavePsych Oct 2020 #14
I don't buy this poll but I do believe he's up comfortably right now. Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #10
I do too! Much better than 2016!! n/t tormadjax Oct 2020 #17
The fact that 11 millions already have voted and there are so few undecided drray23 Oct 2020 #12
Agreed but fingers are crossed! n/t tormadjax Oct 2020 #18
Hah! lpbk2713 Oct 2020 #15
*******WHOOOO HOOOOOOO!! This election is OVER! ********* tormadjax Oct 2020 #16
No it's not. Stop it. n/t moonscape Oct 2020 #20
Its been 4 long years1 I'm dyin here man! tormadjax Oct 2020 #21
Solid lead does not equal 'we did it'. Putin moonscape Oct 2020 #22
Oh come on. You're carryin' it to extremes methinks. tormadjax Oct 2020 #23

dawg day

(7,947 posts)
2. "It's cooked."
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 09:41 PM
Oct 2020

>Asked by the Times if Trump can still turn things around, Rollins replied: “It’s cooked.”

Someone isn't going to get a final Xmas card from the Trump family....

jimlup

(7,968 posts)
3. Almost close enough to hold our breaths...
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 09:42 PM
Oct 2020

I saw a sign today.

Biden-Harris - a fight for the soul of the nation!

VivaResitance

(109 posts)
6. I can sense something
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 10:04 PM
Oct 2020

Sean Hannity spent most of his show imploring people to ignore the polls and ignore those telling people that it is going to be a bloodbath.

Its coming... I CANT FUCKING WAIT!

Thekaspervote

(32,773 posts)
7. posted this morning, several said it's an outlier. Would like it to be 17 pts!
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 10:06 PM
Oct 2020

Most of the polls out in the past few days- 10-12 pts...nothing shabby about that

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
11. They don't have one - this is their first presidential election.
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 10:40 PM
Oct 2020

They're a British outfit but apparently were correct in the UK election last year.

groundloop

(11,519 posts)
19. Yep, unrated by 538. All the A/B polls at 538 have Biden up by 8 to 10
Wed Oct 14, 2020, 01:37 AM
Oct 2020

SO..... I'll not be satisfied until Joe's hand is on that bible Jan 20th. VOTE DAMNIT !!!!!!!!

BlueWavePsych

(2,635 posts)
14. I waited in line for 5 hours. Felt good (cathartic) to finally vote!
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 11:23 PM
Oct 2020

Still, take nothing for granted. GOTV

drray23

(7,633 posts)
12. The fact that 11 millions already have voted and there are so few undecided
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 11:06 PM
Oct 2020

makes it a near certainty that Biden will win and win big. Of course, I have to add the usual disclaimer that we should vote etc..

lpbk2713

(42,759 posts)
15. Hah!
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 11:27 PM
Oct 2020


That makes the mouth breathers that show up for Trump's rallies look really really silly.

They are wasting their time and taking a risk on being infected all for nothing.

 

tormadjax

(164 posts)
16. *******WHOOOO HOOOOOOO!! This election is OVER! *********
Tue Oct 13, 2020, 11:38 PM
Oct 2020

*******WHOOOO HOOOOOOO!! This election is OVER! *********

*******WHOOOO HOOOOOOO!! This election is OVER! *********

*******WHOOOO HOOOOOOO!! This election is OVER! *********

*******WHOOOO HOOOOOOO!! This election is OVER! *********

*******WHOOOO HOOOOOOO!! This election is OVER! *********

 

tormadjax

(164 posts)
21. Its been 4 long years1 I'm dyin here man!
Wed Oct 14, 2020, 02:07 AM
Oct 2020

Biden's lead is solid. Stop worrying. Please. We. did. It!

moonscape

(4,673 posts)
22. Solid lead does not equal 'we did it'. Putin
Wed Oct 14, 2020, 03:37 AM
Oct 2020

loves us being over-confident so we slack up on GOTV.

Nothing is over.

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