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Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts) Wed Oct 14, 2020, 10:18 AM Oct 2020

YouGov Poll of LVs Biden 52 Trump 42

Joe's composite lead of 10-1/2 points seems to be holding. IBD/TIPP was Joe +8 today. The USC/Dornslife daily poll is at +13.

Keep in mind, this was a 7 point race just a few weeks ago, and that 7 points was consistent for a long time. Joe was up to a 9 point lead early in the Summer, but that had shrunk some. If this can hold at 10, the race is virtually over.

My prediction is in reaches its equilibrium at around +9.

3 replies

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***YouGov Poll of LVs*** Biden 52 Trump 42 (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 OP

to me his lead is under reported, as the "secret Biden" voter is a real thing inside of GOP families beachbumbob Oct 2020 #1

I agree Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #2

One more difference between 2016 and 2020 and silly to even consider 2016 as beachbumbob Oct 2020 #3

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)

1. to me his lead is under reported, as the "secret Biden" voter is a real thing inside of GOP families

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Original post)

Wed Oct 14, 2020, 10:33 AM

Oct 2020

If this goes where I think it will, Biden will win by 20 million votes

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)

2. I agree

Reply to beachbumbob (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 14, 2020, 10:37 AM

Oct 2020

I think it's likely that Biden outperforms the polls this time around. The LV models have turned towards him in recent months, meaning he does better in LV polls than RV polls, that's a total flip from 2016 for Hillary.

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)

3. One more difference between 2016 and 2020 and silly to even consider 2016 as

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 14, 2020, 10:39 AM

Oct 2020

relevant to 2020

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