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Johnny2X2X

(19,114 posts) Thu Oct 15, 2020, 11:15 AM Oct 2020

* A+ Rated Monmouth Poll of LVs in AZ* Biden 51 Trump 44

Monmouth did 3 polls, RV which moved to Biden +6 from Biden +4 last month.

They did a low turnout model that had Biden by 2, and the much much more likely moderately high voter turnout model which has Biden +7.

Monmouth is an A+ rated pollster.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_101520.pdf/

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*** A+ Rated Monmouth Poll of LVs in AZ*** Biden 51 Trump 44 (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 OP

If Joe wins Maricopa by 5-10 Rule of Claw Oct 2020 #1

Rule of Claw

(500 posts)

1. If Joe wins Maricopa by 5-10

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Original post)

Thu Oct 15, 2020, 11:19 AM

Oct 2020

he likely wins AZ by about 5-10. 60 percent of the electorate in Maricopa.

He currently leads it 50-43 in this poll.

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