New South Carolina poll (NYT/Siena, A+): Biden -8, Harrison -6

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[ananda]

1. Bummer

!@#$%

[TreasonousBastard]

2. Well, that sucks.

[octoberlib]

4. SC was always gonna be a longshot but I hate to see this for Harrison.

My mom lives there and said there were really long lines at the early voting location she drove by yesterday. Huge turnout is usually good news for Dems.

[Funtatlaguy]

5. I always thought SC would run back to Graham.

Harrison has gobs of money but prob won’t matter. Just too many racists/fascists in SC.
I’d rather spend any additional DNC money on winnable Georgia, Montana,Alaska Senate seats.

[NewJeffCT]

13. For the GA special senate election

we need Lieberman & the other Dem running to drop out & throw their support behind Rev. Warnock, who might have a shot at 50%+1 if he was the only Democrat in the race.

Otherwise, it goes to a runoff with Warnock against Collins or Loeffler

[BlueStater]

6. Fuck.

Well, I’m still proud of my donation and that I did what I could to get rid of that piece of shit. I’m still not giving up hope on an upset, but I always knew the odds would be against us.

[DFW]

7. Remember Yogi Berra

It ain't over til it's over.

And its modern day corollary: If Charlie Cook says it's a toss-up, then it's a toss-up!

[octoberlib]

10. And this one "It's only one poll and it could be an outlier"

[GusBob]

8. what was 2016?

looked it up 55-41

[octoberlib]

9. Yeah, Trump has lost some support.

[Roland99]

11. Seems to follow SC voting patterns

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

[Jamesyu]

12. Before people here freakout

Link to tweet

[octoberlib]

15. Thanks! There's also a 4.5% margin of error.

[BannonsLiver]

18. And other recent polls have shown a closer race

I think it’s still as Charlie Cook says it is, which is a toss up. If we can get to Election Day and it’s a jump ball-could go either way situation we’d all probably be happy to take our chances with that. I’m not counting Harrison out quite yet.

[octoberlib]

20. I'm not either. Still 19 days to go!

[Statistical]

14. Of the four red states left on the east coast (NC, SC, GA, FL) the most conservative by far is SC.

FL has always been a battleground. NC is joining it. GA is a bit more conservative and way behind all of them is SC. I think Harrison still has a shot but it is a longshot.

[Awsi Dooger]

16. Blacks in South Carolina are obviously very motivated for Harrison

More than 61% of blacks have already returned their mail ballots. That is 11% higher than the white return rate in South Carolina so far.

Both are very high numbers at this stage

[kskiska]

17. I walk daily in an affluent neighborhood in South Carolina

and I'm very surprised at the number of Joe Biden-Jaime Harris lawn signs. However, there must be a shortage of trump signs, because no one displays any.

[11 Bravo]

19. An occasional dose of reality, while not often welcome ...

is worthwhile.
SC was always a stretch, and Graham knows how to tweak the racists, without being too obvious.

[octoberlib]

21. Calling the era of segregation the "good old days" was obvious as hell.

[11 Bravo]

22. One would think so. But I've spent time in South Carolina.