What percentage of the (R) vote do you estimate will go to Biden

[Tony_FLADEM]

In 2016 Hillary got 8% of the (R) vote

https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/how-groups-voted-2016

I think Biden will get 14%.


Tony

[htuttle]

1. 20%

But no higher.

[TruckFump]

2. IMO, close to 20%, but not over.

It’s going to be a very blue election map!

😍

[FBaggins]

3. Not much

But that’s because the republicans he wins won’t be republicans any longer... and millions of former republicans won’t show up at all.

[The Polack MSgt]

4. I wish it was an amount worth discussing. But I expect it will not be much different -

Than it was in 16

Republicans don't hate Trump - At all.

They hate that we keep pointing out how awful he is, but they don't care that he's awful

[GulfCoast66]

5. I'd say 15%.

My wife is not all that political and we have been together 33 years. I think she may be still registered republican. Not sure as we stay out of each other’s business.

But she will be voting straight Democratic this round. I know that for sure as she asked me to go over the sample ballot we received.

She worked overseas for the first 6 months of 2016 and was so embarrassed that trump was popular.

She is a continual reminder that we on DU are not the norm when it comes to politics.

I guess I should get on to her about changing her registration but every couple has their boundaries.

And as long she is voting Democratic I really don’t see the need to bring it up.

[hibbing]

6. 5%

Last time I checked his approval rating among party members was 94%.


Peace

[regnaD kciN]

7. 2%

...if only because those who aren't committed Trump-humpers have already left the Republican Party and become Independents. No one left there now but the cultists.

[moonscape]

8. How many of those 8% have left the party? n/t

[roamer65]

9. 18 pct.

[chillfactor]

10. 20% n/t

[Vivienne235729]

11. I read that 11% of evangelicals have pivoted to Biden.

That's just the evangelicals. So I would say close to 20-25%

[Awsi Dooger]

12. I'll say 8% again

That category has very little variance, especially on the GOP side and when the Roper numbers are used instead of the exit polls that appear on CNN.

Far too much adjusting and anecdotal reliance going on. McCain only lost 9% to Obama in 2008. That's the highest Republican betrayal since 1976, other than the 3-way races of 1980, 1992 and 1996

[judeling]

13. I'm going to go with 20

But you need to understand that it isn't 20 percent of Republicans, but 20 percent of Republicans who actually choose to vote.

I am of the opinion that Republican turnout despite what people may think is going to be depressed.

At a very basic level deep down in our core we are voting to save our lives. They on the other hand are in the position of risking their lives to vote. Because they are waiting for the day much more then we are that unconscious deep motivation will allow enough of them to make excuses that it will matter.

[beachbumbob]

14. 10-20%, higher in urban areas, not as high in rural and will part of the 12-15% margin of win for

team Biden. The REAL HOPE is to see GOP down ballot support for democratic candidates, and this may be higher than what Biden may see