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sunonmars

(8,656 posts) Tue Oct 20, 2020, 02:51 PM Oct 2020

The real story : House-district polling is telling a grim story for Trump.

Link to tweet

House-district polling is telling a grim story for Trump.

I spoke to @Redistrict about all the private data he's seeing.

"Trump is underperforming 2016 margins by 8 to 10 points in most competitive districts," he told me.

Much more in our interview:

..........................

He was the one who also saw how Clinton was running behind Trump in places she should not have been in 2016 and he's seeing the complete reverse now.

8 replies

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The real story : House-district polling is telling a grim story for Trump. (Original Post) sunonmars Oct 2020 OP

After all the threads today with the neck and neck garbage, good to hear. LizBeth Oct 2020 #1

we forget this,the house districts are a microcasm of the overall picture.You can get good info here sunonmars Oct 2020 #3

Absolutely. The real battles are district by district. Just a handful can tip an election. Midnight Writer Oct 2020 #7

The media wants a horse race, but this isn't 2016. CrispyQ Oct 2020 #2

And the media complicity for five years. LakeArenal Oct 2020 #4

This is 2018 on steroids, zero relationship to 2016 and for the first time beachbumbob Oct 2020 #5

tRUMP, Republicans, & Putin tricked people in 2016 into thinking HRC & Dems were the failed problem. WyattKansas Oct 2020 #6

Russia can't fool any more voters; the fools are already fooled and we ain't buying it. lagomorph777 Oct 2020 #8

LizBeth

(9,952 posts)

1. After all the threads today with the neck and neck garbage, good to hear.

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 02:55 PM

Oct 2020

sunonmars

(8,656 posts)

3. we forget this,the house districts are a microcasm of the overall picture.You can get good info here

Reply to LizBeth (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 02:57 PM

Oct 2020

Midnight Writer

(21,798 posts)

7. Absolutely. The real battles are district by district. Just a handful can tip an election.

Reply to sunonmars (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 04:09 PM

Oct 2020

CrispyQ

(36,512 posts)

2. The media wants a horse race, but this isn't 2016.

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 02:57 PM

Oct 2020

Trump was an unknown to many people back then. Not anymore. This election is going to be a referendum on the crude, rude, bigoted asshole.

LakeArenal

(28,845 posts)

4. And the media complicity for five years.

Reply to CrispyQ (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 03:08 PM

Oct 2020

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)

5. This is 2018 on steroids, zero relationship to 2016 and for the first time

Reply to CrispyQ (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 03:11 PM

Oct 2020

In my 50 years of being politically involved, democratic voters and supporters are fuel by anger and we out number the opposition. The grave mistakes by the pundit class is looking at 2020 without factoring the anger. 2018 was fueled by anger.

WyattKansas

(1,648 posts)

6. tRUMP, Republicans, & Putin tricked people in 2016 into thinking HRC & Dems were the failed problem.

Reply to sunonmars (Original post)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 03:36 PM

Oct 2020

Now everyone knows that tRUMP and Republicans are ignorant failed frauds that only know how to bring waste and destruction. And people have experienced four years of distraction fires they keep starting to cover up the blazing hot infernos they created and ignore.

tRUMP and Republicans can only hope to keep a majority of their base and cry foul about the results while hoping Russia helps again, because they have pissed off everyone else with how pathetic they are.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)

8. Russia can't fool any more voters; the fools are already fooled and we ain't buying it.

Reply to WyattKansas (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 04:13 PM

Oct 2020

The only help Russia can offer the Reptilicans now is an Aeroflot evacuation fleet.

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