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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump gaining in PA?
One of my friends posted on FB short time ago that Trump is gaining steam in PA? Is there a new poll out or something?
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)TwilightZone
(25,479 posts)For anything, really.
And, no, he's not. Even Rasmussen has Biden +3.
Polybius
(15,476 posts)He was +10 two weeks ago.
TwilightZone
(25,479 posts)lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Turin_C3PO
(14,047 posts)is pretty steady. It may tighten a bit but I'm not worried. Biden will carry the state.
Claustrum
(4,846 posts)It was Trafalgar yesterday.
Edit: Not saying it's a good pollster. Just that some people cherry pick this poll to show the "tightening" narrative.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Come on, don't expect to be taken seriously if you cite Trafalgar. You can do better than that.
Claustrum
(4,846 posts)I said they are a bad pollster but some people cherry pick it for the "tightening" narrative. But there is bad polls out there (yes, they have a huge right lean and should not be taken seriously).
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Have to (at a minimum) compare the same poll to itself.
Better, follow the average at 538.
Claustrum
(4,846 posts)Though, the OP asked if there is polls showing PA tightening and the fact is there is. Just that the pollster should (at the very least) be taken skeptically.
Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Original post)
SouthernCal_Dem This message was self-deleted by its author.
Under The Radar
(3,404 posts)PTWB
(4,131 posts)It is full of conservative propaganda no better than Fox News (and often much worse).
Miguelito Loveless
(4,473 posts)Proud Liberal Dem
(24,437 posts)I assumed he was referring to a poll put out.
SoonerPride
(12,286 posts)vercetti2021
(10,156 posts)Don't listen to dumbass Facebook.
Last time I saw, Joe was up in PA by 5.
budkin
(6,714 posts)Been the same Biden +6 for a bit
NRaleighLiberal
(60,019 posts)BGBD
(3,282 posts)Has a bad methodology for how they cal averages. Use 538
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)Politicub
(12,165 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(15,656 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)Virtually every other state is frozen or Biden is increasing.
It is going to tighten in Florida
On the other hand GA TX and OH are tightening our way, tied or pulling ahead
(Cannot believe someone alerted on this.
Locutusofborg
(525 posts)Latest Pennsylvania polls:
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research--Oct. 18-19--47% Trump/50% Biden
HarrisX Oct. 12-15--46%Trump/51% Biden
Ipsos Oct. 13-19--45% Trump/49% Biden
Reuters Oct. 13-19 --45% Trump/49% Biden
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... nsylvania/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6861.html
Thekaspervote
(32,793 posts)helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)FakeNoose
(32,748 posts)Pennsylvania will vote for Joe Biden, at least ENOUGH OF US will!
Many of us have already voted.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,437 posts)One of my friends (not a Trumper at all) was doing one of those 270 to Win maps and mentioned that PA was tightening, hence the reason for my post. I had assumed that he had a valid poll-related reason to say that. I am not blindly trusting everything I read on FB or I wouldn't be here asking.
Trenzalore
(2,331 posts)Visiting every other day.
I'm not sure if that is getting him any traction.
SlogginThroughIt
(1,977 posts)OP clearly wasnt saying that the info that they got off of facebook was a reliable source, just that they had heard something on FB. And the people just unload on them. Lately I see a ton of posts on this site flaming people for their posts. It really is a turnoff.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,437 posts)I didn't expect such a angry reaction.
SlogginThroughIt
(1,977 posts)Yeah I just don't understand why it is wrong for someone to say "hey I heard something somewhere does this sound right to you guys?"
Unreal.
radius777
(3,635 posts)especially this close to an election.
There are lots of valid posts that raise concerns about poll tightening etc - where the source is properly cited, or if no source is available a more thorough description should be made. I see later on the original poster made a clarification about the source of the info - that should've been included in the original post.
SlogginThroughIt
(1,977 posts)Before jumping to this idea that the poster may be spreading disinformation it is helpful to look and see how many times the poster has posted and been a member.
radius777
(3,635 posts)And there have indeed been high-count posters over the years who were subsequently banned and revealed to be trolls. Not saying the OP falls into that category, just that vigilance is required in this day and age.
tormadjax
(164 posts)Cranky from being shut in so much maybe?
SlogginThroughIt
(1,977 posts)You might be right.
DarthDem
(5,256 posts)BlueWavePsych
(2,640 posts)Also, latest Rasmussen (Repuglican leaning) has Biden +5
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_50_trump_45