General Discussion

NRaleighLiberal

(60,018 posts) Fri Oct 23, 2020, 10:07 PM Oct 2020

tonight's 538 podcast is excellent - "National And District-Level Polls Disagree About How Close The

2020 Election Is"

There is just no way I can do it justice by capturing notes - but for those here who are polling and politics nerds and wonks and want to hear about Nate and Galen's discussion on state vs national polling, the various pollsters they aggregate, that Biden's lead is probably being under reported, etc it is an excellent listen. I had it playing on my laptop while I was downloading pics from my phone.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-national-and-district-level-polls-disagree-about-how-close-the-2020-election-is/

14 replies

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Highlight:

tonight's 538 podcast is excellent - "National And District-Level Polls Disagree About How Close The (Original Post) NRaleighLiberal Oct 2020 OP

The district level polls are a good tell... Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #1

Thanks for posting Sherman A1 Oct 2020 #2

Marked for later listening... thanks hlthe2b Oct 2020 #3

Ty BootinUp Oct 2020 #4

District level is how the pros do it Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #5

I hope he's right about Biden's lead being even larger than reported with mail being slow! Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #6

YouTube link BraKez2 Oct 2020 #7

thanks NRaleighLiberal Oct 2020 #8

538 Is Doing Daily Sessions that You Can Watch on YouTube - I Enjoy thee Discussions n/t Indykatie Oct 2020 #9

yes, they are pretty comprehensive, smart, entertaining - and informative! NRaleighLiberal Oct 2020 #10

Thanks for sharing Sugarcoated Oct 2020 #11

Kick grantcart Oct 2020 #12

Thanks! My first podcast. nt LAS14 Oct 2020 #13

Too late tonight. But I will listen to it after our Ridin With Biden Car parade tomorrow Vivienne235729 Oct 2020 #14

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

1. The district level polls are a good tell...

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 10:08 PM

Oct 2020

In 2016, they were far more favorable to Trump than the statewide polls.

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)

2. Thanks for posting

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 10:09 PM

Oct 2020

hlthe2b

(102,348 posts)

3. Marked for later listening... thanks

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 10:09 PM

Oct 2020

BootinUp

(47,182 posts)

4. Ty

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 10:10 PM

Oct 2020

Johnny2X2X

(19,108 posts)

5. District level is how the pros do it

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 10:12 PM

Oct 2020

It’s not as simple of a story to tell so it doesn’t make a sound byte in the news. But people running statewide campaigns know what’s happening based on what they are hearing in important districts.

Thekaspervote

(32,790 posts)

6. I hope he's right about Biden's lead being even larger than reported with mail being slow!

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 10:17 PM

Oct 2020

Please...if you haven’t mailed your ballot, don’t. Hand carry your ballot to an official ballot drop box or county office or polling place where ballots are being collected. It varies from state to state and county to county, so check out the details in your area.