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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMark McKinnon: "Trump is not just toast, but burnt toast"
Vanity FairIn many ways 2020 is haunted by 2016. So in an effort to tune into a clear, crisp radio signal through all the white noise, I interviewed the ultimate expert: Dave Wasserman. Hes one of the very few political seers who predictedin mid-September of 2016, no lessthat Trump might very well lose the popular vote and yet win the electoral college.
Wasserman covers congressional races for the nonpartisan and widely respected Cook Political Report. He has a microscopic understanding of what is happening around the country politically. And I sat down with him for Sunday nights episode of Showtimes The Circus, a weekly assessment of the campaign shitshow. Some of our conversation appeared on air; some was left on the cutting-room floor.
After talking with him I came away with the sense that Trump is not just toast, but burnt toast. To use a poker metaphor: In the last election, Trump won by pulling an inside straight. This time hell need nothing short of a royal flushby pulling an ace from his sleeve.
SWBTATTReg
(22,176 posts)greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)is finished. Reason tells us that this many projections cannot all be off by the same amount (roughly) at the same time, just a week before the election. Reason tells us that surpassing the early voting totals with nine days to go suggests a massive enthusiasm that does not favor the incumbent. Reason tells us that a Republican incumbent having to defend Georgia and Texas suggests disaster for the incumbent.
Reason tells us all these things, and it's OK, it's fine, it's appropriate, it's understandable to say hey, listen, Biden's going to win big.
Reason tells us all these things.
Indykatie
(3,697 posts)Stallion
(6,476 posts)after awhile you realize that's all he's gone-he chased off the rest. There isn't going to be a significant late run
idziak4ever1234
(1,257 posts)dweller
(23,682 posts)made especially for him 😖
✌🏻
Mr. Ected
(9,672 posts)He's got a solid 38 -42% of the population. He hasn't really gained supporters. And they won't magically appear on voting day. Worry is in an actual highjacking of our election in ways we mere mortals couldn't contemplate or foresee. Further worry in the reaction of a fascist regime ceding power in a democratically-required manner. You simply know it won't happen. They want a civil war. Damned straight they do. But only if they're in power.
FloridaBlues
(4,009 posts)Unfortunately Florida had disappointed me for years.
I sure hope trump burnt toast.
2naSalit
(86,840 posts)I hope!