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General Discussion

cilla4progress

(24,760 posts) Tue Oct 27, 2020, 11:30 AM Oct 2020

1

Turnout comparisons to 2018?

There was a big blue wave in '18.

Any way to extrapolate to this cycle?.E.g., registrations, new voters, young voters?

6 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Turnout comparisons to 2018? (Original Post) cilla4progress Oct 2020 OP

better to compare to 2016 (or even 2008) Roland99 Oct 2020 #1

I know. That's partly why I ask- cilla4progress Oct 2020 #2

most certainly Roland99 Oct 2020 #3

Dear goddess... cilla4progress Oct 2020 #4

2018 midterm shattered all sorts of democratic turnout records ,so yes, 2018 is the reference point beachbumbob Oct 2020 #5

This needs to be repeated Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #6

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

1. better to compare to 2016 (or even 2008)

Reply to cilla4progress (Original post)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 11:30 AM

Oct 2020

mid-term elections don't typically draw the same turnout as presidential

cilla4progress

(24,760 posts)

2. I know. That's partly why I ask-

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 11:31 AM

Oct 2020

this should be even better?

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

3. most certainly

Reply to cilla4progress (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 11:32 AM

Oct 2020

cilla4progress

(24,760 posts)

4. Dear goddess...

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 11:34 AM

Oct 2020

please...

I have a very freaked out 27 year old daughter who lives in Montana...

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)

5. 2018 midterm shattered all sorts of democratic turnout records ,so yes, 2018 is the reference point

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 12:01 PM

Oct 2020

that aligns with 2020 way more than 2016 could ever do

Johnny2X2X

(19,108 posts)

6. This needs to be repeated

Reply to beachbumbob (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 12:05 PM

Oct 2020

2016 is long gone, 2018 tells us more than 2016. Hillary was up by 3.5 1 week out in 2016, Biden is up by 9.1 right now. And there are less undecideds by over half.

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