With less than a week to go, my Fla County is, as usual, trending red, BUT......

[Fla Dem]

Last edited Wed Oct 28, 2020, 11:15 AM - Edit history (1)

From the Supervisor of Elections Web Site.


Right now it's about 2-1, but if a majority of "others" go Democratic, then we're closer to 100,000. Almost 1-1.
Now take a look at the final results for the 2016 General Election.................



TOTAL VOTES 131,783

There have already been 70,000 more votes cast in 2020 than in the full election in 2016. In both 2016 and current 2020 #'s, Reps vs Dem, we're at a 2-1 disadvantage. But hopefully the "others" are leaning more blue than red.

This is one of the Reddest counties in Fl. Dumbo DeSantis lives in this County. We may not flip the county, but hope we tilt the scales for the state.


Edited to correct a incorrect analysis.

[Phoenix61]

1. It will be interesting how many of the

registered Repubs vote for Biden. You know there are some. Same for the independents, especially if they are younger.

[lagomorph777]

8. Seniors may not approve of defunding SS, leaving seniors to freeze in Omaha, and, oh yeah, COVID.

[kansasobama]

2. Good information - Florida is a strange state

Hope you are correct. In the end, COVID, calamity , recession, whatever it is, Florida will vote for Trump from their ventilators. My only sadness is- Many Democrats are sitting on their butts and not sending in their requested mailing ballots. Not in your county but elsewhere. Miami-Dade is very lethargic.

[AleksS]

3. Help? It looks like 2016 was also 2-1

88,000-43,000 is pretty close to 2-1? Am I missing something?

Hope the republicans have some Biden votes. Heavily red districts with mysteriously and unexpectedly high participation increases are where republicans like to hide their shenanigans.

[Dem2]

4. My thought as well

How is this anything buy "bleh" news?

[Fla Dem]

10. Really, bleh news? I think it's pretty exciting to see the increase in voter turnout

especially Dems and "Others". Hoping also the increase in Republican votes have a few Biden voters.

Also corrected my misstatement.

[Fla Dem]

6. Yes you're right. Fixed it. Math never was my strongest subject. Thanks.

[kansasobama]

5. Yes it is 2-1- It is same old in Florida

No change. As expected, do not expect any change in behavior from both Florida GOP and lethargic Democrats. Nelson/Gillum lost because many did not return ballots. Same old....

Trump will again win by 0.5 to 1%.

Obama is working his tail off elsewhere. Democrats, I hope, will take the cue from a great man.

[Fla Dem]

9. Obama was in Miami and Orlando, that's in FL. "Others" have increased by 43,000+

and voting hasn't ended. So hoping many of those "Others" are Biden voters, along with a percentage of Republican voters. Not giving up hope.

[lagomorph777]

7. You don't have to flip the county to have a big impact on the state.

Thanks for sharing; this looks very intriguing.

[Thekaspervote]

11. Read yesterday that Miami dade is not having a big dem turn out...that is not good

We can’t win in FL without them

[Fla Dem]

12. As of the end of last week, Dems in Fl were ahead of Repubs by 246,000 votes

Additionally there were almost 1.4 million NPA. I would like to hope that more than half of those votes went to Biden.

I couldn't find Miami-Dade specific numbers, Dem vs Rep, but having the total Fl vote is even better.




This is the link for the Florida specific information
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html

This is the link to the home page where you can choose any state.
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Some additional infor re: Miami Dade.

As of Wednesday 9:40am (10/28)...

6.9M Florida ballots cast out of 14.4M, now at 48%. Florida Democrats with a 245K vote lead over Republicans (2.84M vs 2.59M). 1.92M mailed ballots to be counted. Looking at in-person voting, 2.8M voters have turned out, with Republicans showing up at the polls in larger numbers (1.32M) vs Democrats (953K).

753K ballots counted in Miami-Dade (316K Dems vs. 236K Republicans). 255K mailed ballots pending return or processing in Miami-Dade. Republicans and Democrats are neck and neck in turn out, Republicans at 56% turnout and Democrats at 50%. Overall voter participation of 49% is slightly ahead of the state as a whole.

https://www.miamidadedems.org/who_is_winning_the_election_in_florida