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Johnny2X2X

(19,114 posts)
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 08:07 AM Oct 2020

A Rated Suffolk Poll of LVs, Biden 52 Trump 44

A little too close for comfort, but now we're getting to the final polls for these pollsters so these should be viewed a little differently now IMO. No longer is an 8 point lead to be viewed as "not safe" enough because there's no longer any time left for Trump to swing the polls.

This is an A rated pollster, for Trump to win, this A rated pollster has to be off at least 5 points on election day. And not only that, several other highly rated pollsters will have to be off even more than that. In 2016, the polls nationally were off less than 2 points on average, and that was a big deal. Not going to happen this time around.

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2020/10_29_2020_marginals_pdftxt.pdf?la=en&hash=7BE590FE9C03C3188A29E97C1108D5CB75C70362

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