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Johnny2X2X

(19,114 posts)
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:07 PM Oct 2020

B+ rated, Quinnipiac State Polls, FL Biden +3, OH Biden +5, IA Biden -1, PA Biden +7

A whole mess of goodness here. the last 2 days have really been the best polling days of the whole campaign in the states for Biden, been just high quality poll after poll showing him ahead everywhere he needs to be. National Polls still have him +9, but that's not as important anymore as the general direction of the race matters less now than what happens in the states, and in key districts in those stats.

Marist, Monmouth, and NYT/Sienna Quinnipiac are 4 of the best rated and most reputable pollsters. They've all come out with fantastic data for Biden today in important swing states. It's hard to find much bad news right now.

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3682

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B+ rated, Quinnipiac State Polls, FL Biden +3, OH Biden +5, IA Biden -1, PA Biden +7 (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 OP
Iowa Proud liberal 80 Oct 2020 #1
It's gotten more conservative BainsBane Oct 2020 #9
538 trend lines look good The Revolution Oct 2020 #11
However Democrats have returned ballots by nearly a 3:2 margin over pukes. triron Oct 2020 #13
Keep in mind that, according to 538... regnaD kciN Oct 2020 #2
Their track record in Florida seems decent democrattotheend Oct 2020 #6
No it was right on. Clinton did win Florida. Russians changed vote tallies. triron Oct 2020 #14
I would rather have Iowa than Ohio kansasobama Oct 2020 #3
Iowa has six electoral votes. OH has 18 electoral votes. LisaL Oct 2020 #5
True, but if Biden wins either Ohio or Iowa democrattotheend Oct 2020 #7
The vote for senator doesn't depend on Biden. LisaL Oct 2020 #10
In Iowa a visit by a Presidential candidate helps Senate kansasobama Oct 2020 #20
It is about the Iowa Senate, not electoral college kansasobama Oct 2020 #17
Biden is not running for Senate in Iowa. LisaL Oct 2020 #18
any new Minnesota polling? slightly confused why Joe is there right now. Amishman Oct 2020 #4
Blow hard Jason Lewis (Fascist) is probably gonna beat Tina Smith suegeo Oct 2020 #12
Makes sense. strange polling in that senate race Amishman Oct 2020 #16
Well, don't just blame Roger Stone. LisaL Oct 2020 #19
Agreed. I got a post removed for criticizing Gillibrand suegeo Oct 2020 #23
I want Ohio. Bantamfancier Oct 2020 #8
If Biden wins FL, OH, and PA, it's game-set-match. Wednesdays Oct 2020 #15
I'm still so nervous mvd Oct 2020 #21
Good poll for Ohio... after a little drought! Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #22
👍Excellent my hope is Joe wins Florida early Tribetime Oct 2020 #24

regnaD kciN

(26,045 posts)
2. Keep in mind that, according to 538...
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:20 PM
Oct 2020

...Quinnipiac has a definite Democratic skew, at least at the national level. Don’t know about their state polls.

democrattotheend

(11,607 posts)
6. Their track record in Florida seems decent
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:34 PM
Oct 2020

In 2016, they had Clinton winning by 1 in their final poll, so it was off by two points. But it was finished a little closer to the election than this year.

In 2012, they were insanely close. They had Obama winning by 1 point in Florida and he won by 0.9 points.

kansasobama

(609 posts)
3. I would rather have Iowa than Ohio
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:28 PM
Oct 2020

Biden can pull in the Senator there. No Senator in OH. I agree Quinnipiac has a Democratic bias, which worries me. Are we behind in Iowa?

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
5. Iowa has six electoral votes. OH has 18 electoral votes.
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:32 PM
Oct 2020

Which one has more electoral votes? Hmm...

democrattotheend

(11,607 posts)
7. True, but if Biden wins either Ohio or Iowa
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:36 PM
Oct 2020

He's probably won enough other states that he doesn't need Iowa or Ohio, so that comment about the Senate race makes sense. For example, I can't see him winning Ohio but losing Pennsylvania, since those two states are fairly similar demographically but Pennsylvania is usually a little bluer than Ohio.

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
10. The vote for senator doesn't depend on Biden.
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:37 PM
Oct 2020

And as far as my math is concerned, more electoral votes is better than less electoral votes.

kansasobama

(609 posts)
20. In Iowa a visit by a Presidential candidate helps Senate
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 03:00 PM
Oct 2020

Des Moines visit by a Democrat has always helped in the past. It is not populous and so Des Moines is Iowa pretty much for a Democrat.

kansasobama

(609 posts)
17. It is about the Iowa Senate, not electoral college
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:56 PM
Oct 2020

I would rather have him in Iowa and also win the Senate.

Amishman

(5,559 posts)
4. any new Minnesota polling? slightly confused why Joe is there right now.
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:28 PM
Oct 2020

The last polls I can find for MN are comfortable (excluding a bogus trafalgar)

suegeo

(2,573 posts)
12. Blow hard Jason Lewis (Fascist) is probably gonna beat Tina Smith
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:42 PM
Oct 2020

Smith replaced Al Franken after Roger Stone and goons rat-fu*cked him.
Lewis, talk radio asshole, came within 1 point of Smith in a poll last week.

Perhaps Joe is trying to help out Democrats and Smith. Senator Lewis, gag.

Amishman

(5,559 posts)
16. Makes sense. strange polling in that senate race
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:47 PM
Oct 2020

I hadn't been watching it too closely before now. polls either show it scary tight or a blowout for us. not much inbetween

LisaL

(44,974 posts)
19. Well, don't just blame Roger Stone.
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 03:00 PM
Oct 2020

Democrats sure helped in demanding Franken resigned in their quest for no tolerance. I am still pissed over Franken forced to resign.

suegeo

(2,573 posts)
23. Agreed. I got a post removed for criticizing Gillibrand
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 03:20 PM
Oct 2020

The Dems pulled a circular firing squad.

Bantamfancier

(366 posts)
8. I want Ohio.
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:36 PM
Oct 2020

I’m sick and tired of these rwnj and their maskless faces.

We’re in serious shit here. COVID-19 cases have went from 800/day to 3,500/today and are not letting up.

Hamilton county (Cincinnati) Cuyahoga (Cleveland) and Clark (Springfield) are just about to go purple, the highest risk level.

Wednesdays

(17,412 posts)
15. If Biden wins FL, OH, and PA, it's game-set-match.
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 02:47 PM
Oct 2020

There would be no way for Rump to get to 270 without taking several states that are now polling heavily Dem.
Even so, GOTV! GOTV!

mvd

(65,180 posts)
21. I'm still so nervous
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 03:01 PM
Oct 2020

Any good poll news is welcome! K&R

As far as I know, Quinnipiac doesn’t seem Dem biased in state polls. Maybe even slight R lean.

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