General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsB+ rated, Quinnipiac State Polls, FL Biden +3, OH Biden +5, IA Biden -1, PA Biden +7
A whole mess of goodness here. the last 2 days have really been the best polling days of the whole campaign in the states for Biden, been just high quality poll after poll showing him ahead everywhere he needs to be. National Polls still have him +9, but that's not as important anymore as the general direction of the race matters less now than what happens in the states, and in key districts in those stats.
Marist, Monmouth, and NYT/Sienna Quinnipiac are 4 of the best rated and most reputable pollsters. They've all come out with fantastic data for Biden today in important swing states. It's hard to find much bad news right now.
https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3682
Proud liberal 80
(4,167 posts)was Trump +1, And I don't like how that senate race looks
BainsBane
(53,072 posts)in recent years.
The Revolution
(766 posts)They have Greenfield slightly favored to win. It will likely be close, but Greenfield can definitely win it.
triron
(22,020 posts)regnaD kciN
(26,045 posts)...Quinnipiac has a definite Democratic skew, at least at the national level. Dont know about their state polls.
democrattotheend
(11,607 posts)In 2016, they had Clinton winning by 1 in their final poll, so it was off by two points. But it was finished a little closer to the election than this year.
In 2012, they were insanely close. They had Obama winning by 1 point in Florida and he won by 0.9 points.
triron
(22,020 posts)kansasobama
(609 posts)Biden can pull in the Senator there. No Senator in OH. I agree Quinnipiac has a Democratic bias, which worries me. Are we behind in Iowa?
LisaL
(44,974 posts)Which one has more electoral votes? Hmm...
democrattotheend
(11,607 posts)He's probably won enough other states that he doesn't need Iowa or Ohio, so that comment about the Senate race makes sense. For example, I can't see him winning Ohio but losing Pennsylvania, since those two states are fairly similar demographically but Pennsylvania is usually a little bluer than Ohio.
LisaL
(44,974 posts)And as far as my math is concerned, more electoral votes is better than less electoral votes.
kansasobama
(609 posts)Des Moines visit by a Democrat has always helped in the past. It is not populous and so Des Moines is Iowa pretty much for a Democrat.
kansasobama
(609 posts)I would rather have him in Iowa and also win the Senate.
LisaL
(44,974 posts)NT
Amishman
(5,559 posts)The last polls I can find for MN are comfortable (excluding a bogus trafalgar)
suegeo
(2,573 posts)Smith replaced Al Franken after Roger Stone and goons rat-fu*cked him.
Lewis, talk radio asshole, came within 1 point of Smith in a poll last week.
Perhaps Joe is trying to help out Democrats and Smith. Senator Lewis, gag.
Amishman
(5,559 posts)I hadn't been watching it too closely before now. polls either show it scary tight or a blowout for us. not much inbetween
LisaL
(44,974 posts)Democrats sure helped in demanding Franken resigned in their quest for no tolerance. I am still pissed over Franken forced to resign.
suegeo
(2,573 posts)The Dems pulled a circular firing squad.
Bantamfancier
(366 posts)Im sick and tired of these rwnj and their maskless faces.
Were in serious shit here. COVID-19 cases have went from 800/day to 3,500/today and are not letting up.
Hamilton county (Cincinnati) Cuyahoga (Cleveland) and Clark (Springfield) are just about to go purple, the highest risk level.
Wednesdays
(17,412 posts)There would be no way for Rump to get to 270 without taking several states that are now polling heavily Dem.
Even so, GOTV! GOTV!
mvd
(65,180 posts)Any good poll news is welcome! K&R
As far as I know, Quinnipiac doesnt seem Dem biased in state polls. Maybe even slight R lean.
Buckeye_Democrat
(14,857 posts)Edit:
And 538 just made Ohio a 50/50 toss-up again.