“47%” Was Bad for Romney; Ryan Has Been Deadly

[Proud Public Servant]

Interesting (and heartening) analysis. If Obama is now winning seniors, who the heck is left in the GOP?

At the time of his selection, a number of pundits argued Ryan’s strategic benefits, suggesting he would boost Romney by energizing conservatives, or by allowing Romney to run as the candidate of big ideas, or that he would at least be the party’s best defender of the Medicare plan Romney was going to have to defend whether he wanted to or not. This seemed like a stretch at the time—after all, Ryan’s Medicare plan proved to be a massive liability the one time voters weighed in on it. But who could say for sure?

Well, fast forward a month-and-a-half and the numbers look pretty persuasive. This week the New York Times released a set of polls, conducted by Quinnipiac, assessing the state of the race in Ohio and Florida. The top-line numbers were jaw-dropping enough: Obama’s lead in Ohio grew from six to ten over the last month, and from three to nine in Florida. (It’s better to focus on the change here than the magnitude, which is highly sensitive to polling methodology.) But once you look at the internal numbers, they’re even less kind to Romney. More to the point, they suggest Ryan has done enormous damage to the ticket.

Whole thing here: http://www.tnr.com/blog/107829/47-was-bad-romney-ryan-has-been-deadly

[fleur-de-lisa]

1. Bwa ha haa haaa !!!

The Wonder Wonk has been a total flop! I hope he loses his congressional seat too!

[ProSense]

2. Interestingly, Pew shows

that 55 percent reacted negatively.



http://www.people-press.org/2012/10/01/romneys-47-comments-criticized-but-many-also-say-overcovered/

Mitt is taking a beating in the swing states and state polls, including right leaning ones.

Poll: Obama Leads Romney By 10 Points In Michigan
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021447208

WaPo/ABC poll: Obama up 2 points nationally, up 11 points among swing-state voters
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021444351

Yet somehow the national polls are showing the race tightening, not because Mitt is rising, but Obama lost a few points.

CNN for example shows Mitt up a point, and Obama down three points. What's up with that?

Battle for presidency remains close in new CNN poll
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/01/battle-for-presidency-remains-close-in-new-cnn-poll/

CNN attributes this to a fading bounce.

[BlueStreak]

7. "There but by the grace of God ..."

Romney's vision is that things are OK for the 1%, and the 47% don't deserve even basic human compassion. What he didn't count on is that there are a whole bunch of people in "the good 53%" who can easily see themselves in "the bad 47%". All it takes is one sickness, one pink slip, or simply reaching retirement age.

So Romney's "47% problem" is a lot bigger than 47%.

[louis-t]

3. It seems Ryan's ideology worked well in his district but

didn't translate well in a national setting.

[Barack_America]

4. Ryan's ideas are good soundbites, and horrible policy.

Not surprised people are not impressed now they're getting to hear more details.

[Cirque du So-What]

5. Be still, my blue-collar heart!

Once this cretin gets exposure beyond the beltway, Lyin' Ryan is a one-man wrecking crew.

[Cha]

6. I remember something I read when Ryan

was on morning joe and talking about his "plan" and some producer was quoted as saying "I thnk I'm in love!" So glad others aren't quite so sucked in.