ROMNEY COLLAPSE IN GRANITE STATE---NH GOP Has Recieved The Message & They No Longer Give A Shit

[kpete]

This is How a Blow-Out Starts
by BooMan
Mon Oct 1st, 2012 at 10:17:05 PM EST

According to the WMUR Granite State poll, Romney's campaign in New Hampshire has utterly collapsed. Obama leads with independents 47%-29% and he has a 27% advantage with women. Add that up and Obama leads 52%-37% overall and 54%-39% once you push leaners. It seems almost certain that Obama will top 55% in the state, while Romney will struggle to top 40%.

That means we will almost certainly win both House seats in the state. The Democrats have a 12% advantage in motivation, too, which shows that it has been important to hammer home the fact that Romney is going to lose. The New Hampshire GOP has received the message and they no longer give a shit.

This is how a campaign crumbles. Remember, I compared it to arm-wrestling. It can look competitive for a long time, but ultimately one side is stronger and the victory can be sudden and jarring. Pollsters were seeing an enthusiasm gap that favored Republicans all year long, and their likely voter models reflected that. But the enthusiasm gap has been closed, or even reversed in some places. That's why the GOP has launched this absurd campaign about unskewed polls. They can't let their troops realize the game is over or the floor will fall out below them. And, in New Hampshire, it already has.

More:
http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2012/10/1/22175/7859
http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2012_fall_presapp100112.pdf

[geckosfeet]

1. So. The r0mnb0ts third (of four) home state is jumping ship.

[CaliforniaPeggy]

2. The floor has fallen out in NH.....where will it fall next?

Fascinating article. Thanks, kpete!

[hrmjustin]

3. A lot of NH residents were from Mass., but left under Romney because...

... he was not a good governor.

[Lifelong Protester]

4. I'm recc'ing for this line alone:

"The New Hampshire GOP has received the message and they no longer give a shit."

[CoffeeCat]

5. It must be hard to get this information before the debates...

Poor Mitt.

I hope he doesn't come unglued from all of the horrifying news that is churning out on a regular basis.

<snicker>

[lonestarnot]

7. He's going to have a mental attack!

bwwwaaaa hahahahaha. And his fellow richie richers toooooooooooooooo!

[goclark]

6. not just on Fox ...saying

They are saying it's neck and neck

[tex-wyo-dem]

8. That's called faux snooze altered reality...

They love playing that game!

[Orrex]

9. He shouldn't have taken New Hampshire for granite

Thank you, thank you.

[Cha]

12. Noooo

Thank you!

[lovemydog]

17. nice

[bunnies]

18. As a NH resident, allow me to:

[B Calm]

10. Great News!!

[Cha]

11. What happened in one of Romney's home's State?

[longship]

13. I am from Michigan. Wonderful, in'it?

R&

[Cha]

14. YES!!

[aquart]

15. While I will hold my breath till the last Supreme Court decision...

Okay, I won't cyanotically hold my breath but I will be nervous...nonetheless I can still enjoy a deeply satisfying giggle along the way

[lovemydog]

16. repub voters shouldn't be enthused

about their party's george w. bush policies and obstructionism is congress

[bunnies]

19. THIS is what happens when polls include cell phones. nt

[KurtNYC]

20. "the floor" was never there -- they have been Wily E Coyote floating in the Nevada sky for the last

10 months or so. Romney had only 35% of the GOP at best.

They have been in denial of the laws of gravity.

[underpants]

21. Isn't that one of Mitt's "home states"? ....well he filed taxes there

so he could lose Michigan, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Colorado

[nyquil_man]

22. If the President gets that kind of a margin in NH,

he'll probably be winning by about 10-12 points nationally. A few recent polls in OH suggest the same thing.