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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
Wed Oct 3, 2012, 12:37 PM Oct 2012

Obama 348, Romney 190: UAH astrophysicist, who got it right twice before, predicts electoral results

ource: Huntsville Times

HUNTSVILLE, Alabama -- There is little suspense left in our presidential horse race, even in most of the so-called swing states, says astrophysicist and statistician Wes Colley.

The way he measures the poll data and his deceptively simple median method, which have correctly predicted the last two presidential elections, show President Obama has locked up Ohio and Virginia and cemented a small, but stable lead in Florida.

Bottom line: Obama is well on his way to re-election.


Read more: http://blog.al.com/breaking/2012/10/uah_astrophysicist_and_college.html#incart_river_default

This is very similar to what is being performed here:

http://election.princeton.edu/


and here:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

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