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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsGravis Marketing Has Willard Romney Winning The African American Vote In C0 -60%-40%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Gravis_CO_1006.pdfPlease go to page eleven.
If you "unskew that poll" to the more likely 90% -10% margin the president will enjoy among African Americans in that state the poll results would show the president winning by a percent or two instead of trailing by three.
If I was conducting a survey and discovered such counterintuitive results I would surely check my sample.
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Gravis Marketing Has Willard Romney Winning The African American Vote In C0 -60%-40% (Original Post)
DemocratSinceBirth
Oct 2012
OP
Obama Is Leading Among African Americans In Almost Every National Poll By About 9-1
DemocratSinceBirth
Oct 2012
#3
Lone_Star_Dem
(28,158 posts)1. This is one if those automated phone surveys, right?
Not only that but I believe this one only uses land lines.
For reasons like this result is why I don't take them too seriously.
tarheelsunc
(2,117 posts)2. 60-40?
And I thought that crappy Civitas NC poll from August or early September was bad, where they had the PBS Killer getting 30%.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)3. Obama Is Leading Among African Americans In Almost Every National Poll By About 9-1
I doubt African American Coloradoans are that different than their fellow African Americans.
Samjm
(320 posts)4. Doesn't matter
Even if that is true (which is HIGHLY debatable and downright laughable), it really doesn't change too much at all. African Americans make up only 4.3% of CO population.
(info from here: http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/08000.html)
DavidDvorkin
(19,479 posts)5. And Africans are an even smaller percentage.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)6. They Comprise 5.9% Of That Poll
If you assume African Americans in Colorado more or less vote like any other African American than Obama leads by a point or two in that poll. It's simple math.