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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRasmussen - steady at R 49 O 47
With a 3 day moving average, assuming Thursday and Friday were really terrible days, that means Saturday Obama polled much better. Yesterday's numbers still had one good day of polling from last Wednesday before the debate. Today's top-line dropped Wednesday's (presumably good Obama numbers) and added yesterday's numbers. If Obama was till polling very badly yesterday, the 3 day moving average would have gone down some more. So, it looks like yesterday's numbers were probably more in line with Wednesday's numbers, although its impossible to know exactly because we don't know the actual Thursday & Friday numbers. But this seems consistent with Reuters-Ipsos and PPP's tweet about Saturday's polling being more similar to pre-debate polling, FWIW.
Per Rasmussen:
-snip-
These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, todays update is the first based entirely upon interviews conducted after the first presidential debate last Wednesday night.
The numbers reflect a modest debate bounce for Romney. See daily tracking history. As with all bounces, it remains to be seen whether it is a temporary blip or signals a lasting change in the race.
-snip-
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
GoneOffShore
(17,340 posts)Is that all you've got?
7worldtrade
(85 posts)Point is Obama's numbers appear to be going back up even with Rasmussen. It was meant to be a positive post. Perhaps I should change the title.
brush
(53,784 posts)It's Rasmussen. They are shamelessly in the tank for Romney and are not to be believed.
stlsaxman
(9,236 posts)it's their job- that's why FOX uses them exclusively. I'ts written into their contract that no Dem/Obama shall ever, ever, ever lead in any poll over GOP/Romney.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)I heard something like 93% of voters have made up their minds already. Also, Rasmussen is owned by Scott Rasmussen, who also gets paid to make speeches to republicans.
bluestate10
(10,942 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)But who knows what machinations occur in the bowels of the House Of Rasmussen and how much credence we should give to them.
Denzil_DC
(7,242 posts)All polls have a house effect, which doesn't necessarily invalidate them as long as you can detect it and allow for it, and they can still be useful to show trends as long as their methodology is consistent.
But I don't trust Rasmussen (and some of the other more obscure pollsters that have been cited on DU in the past few days) not to cook the books to order.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts).