Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

7worldtrade

(85 posts)
Sun Oct 7, 2012, 10:00 AM Oct 2012

Rasmussen - steady at R 49 O 47

With a 3 day moving average, assuming Thursday and Friday were really terrible days, that means Saturday Obama polled much better. Yesterday's numbers still had one good day of polling from last Wednesday before the debate. Today's top-line dropped Wednesday's (presumably good Obama numbers) and added yesterday's numbers. If Obama was till polling very badly yesterday, the 3 day moving average would have gone down some more. So, it looks like yesterday's numbers were probably more in line with Wednesday's numbers, although its impossible to know exactly because we don't know the actual Thursday & Friday numbers. But this seems consistent with Reuters-Ipsos and PPP's tweet about Saturday's polling being more similar to pre-debate polling, FWIW.

Per Rasmussen:

-snip-

These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, today’s update is the first based entirely upon interviews conducted after the first presidential debate last Wednesday night.

The numbers reflect a modest debate bounce for Romney. See daily tracking history. As with all bounces, it remains to be seen whether it is a temporary blip or signals a lasting change in the race.

-snip-

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Rasmussen - steady at R 49 O 47 (Original Post) 7worldtrade Oct 2012 OP
One Faux poll? GoneOffShore Oct 2012 #1
The poll results are good for Obama 7worldtrade Oct 2012 #2
Consider the source brush Oct 2012 #3
Rasmussen has been there since July... stlsaxman Oct 2012 #4
Gallup daily has O+3. But lets be serious, its all about the electoral college at this point. JaneyVee Oct 2012 #5
Rasmussen gives a 4-6 point bias to the republican. nt bluestate10 Oct 2012 #6
I Was Going To Post This. It Shows The Bounce Has Stalled DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #7
That's right Denzil_DC Oct 2012 #8
He Weights For Party But So If There Is Movement In (His) Poll It's Coming From Indys. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #9

7worldtrade

(85 posts)
2. The poll results are good for Obama
Sun Oct 7, 2012, 10:03 AM
Oct 2012

Point is Obama's numbers appear to be going back up even with Rasmussen. It was meant to be a positive post. Perhaps I should change the title.

brush

(53,784 posts)
3. Consider the source
Sun Oct 7, 2012, 10:05 AM
Oct 2012

It's Rasmussen. They are shamelessly in the tank for Romney and are not to be believed.

stlsaxman

(9,236 posts)
4. Rasmussen has been there since July...
Sun Oct 7, 2012, 10:06 AM
Oct 2012

it's their job- that's why FOX uses them exclusively. I'ts written into their contract that no Dem/Obama shall ever, ever, ever lead in any poll over GOP/Romney.

 

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)
5. Gallup daily has O+3. But lets be serious, its all about the electoral college at this point.
Sun Oct 7, 2012, 10:10 AM
Oct 2012

I heard something like 93% of voters have made up their minds already. Also, Rasmussen is owned by Scott Rasmussen, who also gets paid to make speeches to republicans.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
7. I Was Going To Post This. It Shows The Bounce Has Stalled
Sun Oct 7, 2012, 10:12 AM
Oct 2012

But who knows what machinations occur in the bowels of the House Of Rasmussen and how much credence we should give to them.

Denzil_DC

(7,242 posts)
8. That's right
Sun Oct 7, 2012, 10:16 AM
Oct 2012

All polls have a house effect, which doesn't necessarily invalidate them as long as you can detect it and allow for it, and they can still be useful to show trends as long as their methodology is consistent.

But I don't trust Rasmussen (and some of the other more obscure pollsters that have been cited on DU in the past few days) not to cook the books to order.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Rasmussen - steady at R 4...