Saw this on Intrade re. Ohio

[tarheelsunc]

It's far too soon to freak out and give up! We have to fight tooth and nail for Ohio and victory is within our hands.

[mzmolly]

1. Translate please.

[LisaL]

3. Everything is shown right there in the graph.

Bush in red, Obama in blue.

[mzmolly]

11. D I

explained in logical manner.

[Drunken Irishman]

4. Translated: Obama is doing better than Bush was in Ohio at this point.

[LisaL]

7. And when it's close, polls are pretty much useless.

[mzmolly]

24. Provided people do not have ten hour

waits in Democratic areas.

I prefer to maintain a comfortable lead in states where R's are attempting to steal the election. That said - I agree - not time to panic.

[mzmolly]

8. Ahhh. Thanks.

Makes sense now. I was confused as I thought it said Clinton result 2004 vs election result. Darned kindle font.

[tarheelsunc]

6. The polls are no reason to freak out

Bush was losing the state by 7% according to some poll FOUR days before the election and went on to win it by about 3%. Screw margin of error, polls just aren't always right. The only Ohio poll now that matters is the early voting returns, which are quite positive.

[LisaL]

10. That's why it makes me laugh when people obsessively follow these polls and

then claim Obama lost a point or gained a point.
None of these polls are that accurate to say when someone lost or gained a point. It's noise.

[mzmolly]

14. I wish we were talking about a single

point or two. Were talking trends and point(s). Hopefully Biden helped us stop the bleeding and regroup a bit.

[LisaL]

16. A whole bunch of polls had Bush losing OH right before the election.

Obviously he didn't care about polls.
And we all know the rest.

[mzmolly]

20. He did not care about winning legitimately

either. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/26/opinion/26tue4.html?_r=0

[Nevernose]

23. In Matt Taibbi's latest in Rolling Stone

He goes with the not-too extreme notion that in some countries, it is illegal to publish poll results. He also suggests that campaigns not be allowed to run more than six weeks and all campaigns paid for with tax dollars (it being illegal for politicians to take money for any reason). Most of our political problems would be solved overnight.

[LisaL]

2. Looks like some polls had Bush losing by as much as 7 points very close to the election.

So much for accuracy of the polls.
The only thing we can do is ignore the polls, then get out there and vote.

[Indpndnt]

5. I must have missed everybody giving up.

There's been a troll infestation since they're freaking out about Lyin's pathetic appearance (not even a performance) last night. It's been a lot of fun yesterday and today!

[tarheelsunc]

9. I saw at least one thread concerning a PPP tweet

that says the new poll is going to be "close"

[LisaL]

12. What does close really mean?

Anything less than 10 points is probably close.

[tarheelsunc]

18. Apparently people are reading it as closer than the 4 pt gap in the last one

[Indpndnt]

13. Was that the thread that got hidden because the OP was outed as a troll?

It's happened a LOT tonight.

[tarheelsunc]

15. No, it's still active

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251138625

[Drunken Irishman]

19. That poster has been dancing non-stop since the polls showed Obama taking a hit...

I think it's pretty telling when posters start becoming active only to spread bad news. This poster was pretty quiet over the weeks where it looked like Obama was going to blow Romney out of the water and then all the sudden, here they are posting bad news after bad news ... it's like a thrill for 'em.

Not saying this poster is a troll ... but they seem to get too much enjoyment in posting bad news.

[mzmolly]

21. Posting patterns

are telling aren't they?

[Drunken Irishman]

25. Yup!

It's sad that Democrats (?) would take glee in reporting negative news. It's as if someone is trying to, you know, dispirit the base.

[mzmolly]

27. LOL

It's as if someone is trying to, you know, dispirit the base.

It sure is. I love the opportune Obama will gut "Social Security" posts, when the polls are down a bit too.

[Indpndnt]

22. Oh.

Yeah, I'm not touching that one.

I wouldn't worry about it.

[Drunken Irishman]

17. They said their first night of polling indicated it could be close.

[Jonny Oddom]

26. I think...

the graph is really meaningless. However, as I stated before OH is critical. Without OH, it is repug's in the WH.