Obama only needs to win Ohio, Wisconsin and either Iowa or Nevada to be elected

[boxman15]

He could lose Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire and one of Iowa or Nevada and still win this thing.

I like Obama's odds. He's never been down in Wisconsin or Iowa, and has been generally up by decent margins in Ohio and Nevada.

Plus, he can lose the "Big 4" (OH, FL, NC, VA) and still win if he wins NH, IA, CO, NV, and WI, all states he's been up in all year.

Please keep this in mind before freaking out. This thing is far from over. It's still leaning in Obama's favor, really.

[barbtries]

1. i know that's true,

and i'm really happy about that, but i'm still going to be more than a little heartbroken if he doesn't win NC.

[occupymybrain]

2. I think I want more than ever for Obama to carry

Colorado and i'm doing everything I can do to help to make that reality. I think Colorado will still go Obama and we got good democrats ready for republicans seats too.

[flamingdem]

6. Great! CO needs some work but it's doable

been calling from CA and people say they are kinda sick of calls but those are repukes and the Obama supporters are strong, strong!

[ananda]

3. He's got 63% of the ev in OH.

That's a good sign!

[FarPoint]

4. If Romney wins Ohio

...what does that mean?

I'm asking what if Obama looses Ohio? Can we still win?

[boxman15]

5. See my OP.

He can lose Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida and still win.

[FarPoint]

7. SW Ohio and up I-75 from Cincinnati towards Toledo

damn...embedded republicans, everywhere, every corner....totally clueless to the issues of course, don't know they are supporting the henchman....they are foxx news minions....It's depressing.

That said...there are many, many Democrats here too; we just can't do it alone, staying close, under the radar of the aggressive, opinionated teabagger types....in this repug bee hive area of Ohio.

[Bucky]

11. Only on paper. If he loses all four of those states

(and really, North Carolina doesn't really matter in this case) then it will be a result of Obama having some kind of trouble that will translate into losses in other swing states as well. These things don't happen in a vacuum, after all.

The good news is that Obama needs only win one of those three states and then he should be okay. I agree it's still Obama's to lose. But that pitiful debate performance was some real damage to the campaign. He needs to be a lot more aggressive. He doesn't need to "win" the arguments--he just needs to highlight what a bad bunch of ideas Romney is campaigning under.

[Scuba]

8. Don't count on Wisconsin. Our electorate is split and our elections are rigged.

[mick063]

9. This will be Mitt's fifth day in a row

in Ohio.


It boils down to Ohio. Mitt won't win without it.

To take it a step further, it is the women in Ohio.

If you are a woman in Ohio, your influence is incredibly magnified.

[Bucky]

10. Simpler formula: Romney needs to win Ohio AND Florida AND Virginia to win.

If Obama gets any one of those three states, he wins. If Romney wins all three, there's no way he wouldn't have already won Iowa and Colorado, so your scenario doesn't quite pan out.

I would agree about Ohio, except that serious suppression voter efforts are going on there. Obama will have to win over a solid quarter million voters more than Romney in Ohio (out of the expected 6 million) in order to make sure he gets a majority of the votes that actually end up being counted.

It's doable, but it needs to be THE priority of this election.

[treestar]

12. Thanks. We need to remember the map is difficult for Mittwit

One debate is not going to do it!