India Tops 100,000 Cases a Day as Virus Races Out of Control

[Demovictory9]

India Tops 100,000 Cases a Day as Virus Races Out of Control
The country is restricting vaccine exports to cover its domestic needs, putting more pressure on global vaccine supplies. Scientists in Europe identified unusual antibodies that appear to cause, in rare cases, serious and sometimes fatal blood clots in people who received the AstraZeneca vaccine.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/04/10/world/covid-vaccine-coronavirus-cases

India on Saturday reported a daily record of 145,384 new infections as Covid-19 raced out of control. Deaths, while still relatively low, are rising. Vaccinations, a mammoth task in such a large nation, are dangerously behind schedule. Hospital beds are running short.


Parts of the country are reinforcing lockdowns. Scientists are rushing to track new versions, including the more hazardous variants found in Britain and South Africa, that may be hastening the spread. But the authorities have declared contact tracing in some places to be simply impossible.

Complacency and government missteps have helped turn India from a seeming success story into one of the world’s worst-hit places, experts say. And epidemiologists warn that continuing failure in India would have global implications.

Politicians in India, still stinging from the pain of the last national lockdown, have mostly avoided major restrictions and have even returned to holding big election rallies, sending mixed messages to the public. India’s vaccine rollout was late and riddled with setbacks, despite the country’s status as a major pharmaceutical manufacturer.

The sheer number of infections during the first wave led some to believe the worst was over. India’s youthful population, less susceptible to symptoms and death, created misperceptions about how damaging another outbreak could be.

[progree]

1. Nearly half the daily new case rate per 100K as the U.S., but is going up incredibly sharply

7 day moving averages:
130% increase in the past 14 days (that's 2.3 fold)
8.7 fold increase since March 4

Now exceeds the previous peak reached in mid-September (which was then followed by a nearly 90% drop before beginning to rise again in mid February.

India: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/asia/india-coronavirus-cases.html

World: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html

[KentuckyWoman]

2. Everyone is sick of this and pushing too fast....

Places that beat it down will see it again later as we open international travel full open. Hopefully a point will come that we can manage it better than having to shut down everything.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

3. I am only surprised it has taken so long for India to be hard hit

by this virus.

Over a billion people. Mostly very poor. Probably very limited health structure. Yes, a much younger overall population, and few obese people (which is probably the single largest risk factor) but sheer numbers, and the fact that younger people seem to be more likely to get some of the newer variants, and this is not unexpected.

[progree]

4. The world overall is up 77% since the low point of Feb 20 and nearing its all time Jan 11 peak

The world's Daily new cases, 7 day moving average
739,476   Jan 11 (all time peak)
359,766   Feb 20 (lowest point since the above peak)
636,704   April 9 (latest)
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html