Obama ahead in today's IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll/Erased 5 point Romney lead on October 10
Pollster notes Obama moved ahead 3 days ago and has maintained a steady, small lead, 46.7 to 46. If they didn't use decimals and rounded like other polls, this would be a steady 47-46 lead. More significant is the 5.7 point swing in the last 4 days. This poll and the Rand poll show Obama's support coming back.
from the site:
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IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll
Day 6: Oct. 14, 2012
Obama: +0.7
Obama 46.7% | Romney 46.0%
The race remains in a statistical dead heat, with Obama holding a slender 46.7% to 46.0% edge over Romney.
Obama's slight edge, which has emerged in the last 3 days, has in large part been built on a drop in independent support for Romney, though the former Massachusetts governor still holds a 9-point edge with that key bloc.
Also in the last 3 days: Obama has found growing support in the South (narrowing the gap with Romney from 14 to 7 points), padded his huge lead among Blacks and Hispanics (moving to an 81-point edge from 71), and recaptured urban voters (now a 29% lead, up from only 10 points).
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http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx?src=HPLNews
Romney's lead was 5 points on October 10
http://news.investors.com/101012-628826-romney-lead-over-obama-now-5-points-fully-reflecting-post-debate-bounce.aspx
Interestingly, Rasmussen has had Romney and Obama within 2-3 points of each other for practically forever. He pre-determines the R/D split and weights the poll to what he thinks the turnout will be. All these other polls allow that to fluctuate depending on what the interviewees say. So, when Obama was way up Rasmussen didn't show it, and when Obama moved down some he also didn't show much movement.