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Towlie

(5,325 posts)
Fri May 14, 2021, 06:35 PM May 2021

Has CDC burned its bridges? If there's a surge can they persuade people to put their masks back on?

A Washington Post article says We’re vaccinated — we should be tossing our masks the way grads toss mortarboards.

Grads toss mortarboards to celebrate that they're done with school. If people toss their masks to celebrate that they're done with masks then it seems likely that it would be very difficult to convince them to put those masks back on, even if they still have them.

With COVID-19 still thriving in other parts of the world and the possibility of a new mutant strain showing up and rendering our current vaccinations irrelevant, I'm certainly not tossing my mask! In fact, I've accumulated a fairly large collection of masks and I expect to be keeping them around for quite a while.

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Has CDC burned its bridges? If there's a surge can they persuade people to put their masks back on? (Original Post) Towlie May 2021 OP
They did include a caveat that they'll adjust guidance if needed soothsayer May 2021 #1
But who besides me heard that? Ha soothsayer May 2021 #2
This. Treefrog May 2021 #25
I did. Hugin May 2021 #29
Why not wait until there is solid research published on vaxes/variants? SheltieLover May 2021 #12
People no more heard the possibility of adjustment in the future Ms. Toad May 2021 #45
Our local school has said "no masks anywhere" now Bettie May 2021 #3
i will continue to wear mine in large crowds and in buildings and washing of hands. AllaN01Bear May 2021 #4
Their guidance essentially says if you have be vaccinated you don't need a mask, and if you haven't JohnSJ May 2021 #5
But it will thin the hopeless herd of anti-vaxxers Generic Brad May 2021 #37
How will they be thinned? former9thward May 2021 #79
I'm not referring to the elderly Generic Brad May 2021 #80
I have never cared about them. former9thward May 2021 #81
Well, it's for the vaxxed-- dawg day May 2021 #6
Unless all these unvaccinated hosts create a variation that thwarts the vaccines. Scrivener7 May 2021 #16
Sigh. I wonder how they became so stupidly stubborn-- dawg day May 2021 #64
The India variant B.167.2 is the variant of concern says WHO womanofthehills May 2021 #72
Scary as hell. Texaswitchy May 2021 #78
I don't think you understand the numbers. Ms. Toad May 2021 #46
Also, Forbes reported some new research yesterday womanofthehills May 2021 #73
Kids will still need to wear them in Elementary Schools BigmanPigman May 2021 #7
South Carolina schools said no masks required anymore. Treefrog May 2021 #27
As a teacher I would wear a mask in schools for another year. BigmanPigman May 2021 #38
That's not really unknown. Ms. Toad May 2021 #47
People who trust in and believe the CDC will listen to them. RegularJam May 2021 #8
FL is the worst because of DeSantis rockfordfile May 2021 #32
Our state is embracing and living a lie. RegularJam May 2021 #34
Lol if you don't think this decision was political, even though Trump isn't POTUS now Heart666 May 2021 #54
No, I don't think it is. RegularJam May 2021 #55
There was a perception that continued mask mandates might hurt Democrats at the polls Heart666 May 2021 #56
Then why is the CDC still calling for unvaccinated persons to wear masks? RegularJam May 2021 #57
With no way to verify vax status Heart666 May 2021 #59
Fully agree and have stated it. RegularJam May 2021 #62
It was based on data from Israel and a couple of hospital studies. uponit7771 May 2021 #60
I am still wearing my mask. Texaswitchy May 2021 #9
Us, too. Don't care if we get dirty looks - still keeping them on. n/t Peregrine Took May 2021 #11
The kids are just starting to get their shots. Texaswitchy May 2021 #13
I'm still wearing mine on public transportation and in crowded indoor spaces. Arkansas Granny May 2021 #15
Me too until cases go down in my area Tree Lady May 2021 #31
Not sure what they were thinking. SheltieLover May 2021 #10
I am 67 years old. Texaswitchy May 2021 #14
I'm with you on this, for sure! SheltieLover May 2021 #19
So many without shots yet or will not get them. Texaswitchy May 2021 #21
Yes, it's very scary over there! SheltieLover May 2021 #23
I do not feel right about it either. Texaswitchy May 2021 #40
I cannot believe the CDC does this when the Indian variant arrives in US womanofthehills May 2021 #74
'zero guarantees regarding mutations' Celerity May 2021 #35
I agree. nt Kahuna May 2021 #17
Probably DetroitLegalBeagle May 2021 #18
When I went shopping this morning everyone was still wearing masks even in the Biophilic May 2021 #20
So right. Texaswitchy May 2021 #24
Seems like a lot of us are doing that. Right now it is relatively easy for those of us Biophilic May 2021 #28
There probably won't be a surge due to immunity. Ace Rothstein May 2021 #22
I hope so. Texaswitchy May 2021 #26
yeah the bridge is burned, there is no going back now Takket May 2021 #30
CDC is treading water rockfordfile May 2021 #33
I see classic cognitive dissonance running riot (NOT just on DU). Celerity May 2021 #36
Exactly! It's head scratching behavior. beaglelover May 2021 #39
It is only going to get worse I fear. I already see it happening, the aggression level from one side Celerity May 2021 #42
I know what happening in India right now. Texaswitchy May 2021 #41
A brief discussion on India, variants, spike protein substitutions, and variant-tweaked vaccines Celerity May 2021 #43
And now that variant B.1.617.2 is doubling every day in UK womanofthehills May 2021 #76
There is a difference between trusting the science - Ms. Toad May 2021 #48
Here's the article on the Data the CDC followed (link) uponit7771 May 2021 #63
There are a number of issues with it. Ms. Toad May 2021 #69
👍🏾 uponit7771 May 2021 #70
Well said. OnDoutside May 2021 #50
Yup. It's all very disheartening. GoCubsGo May 2021 #52
True treestar May 2021 #58
False equivalency, being over cautious is not the same as denying science uponit7771 May 2021 #61
Depends how the rejection is framed. I did not make a universal statement, thus there is no false Celerity May 2021 #65
It's mind boggling. Frankly, the motivations of people who dismissed the seriousness of COVID were Midwestern Democrat May 2021 #67
Have you been following Dr Walensky, the CDC Director womanofthehills May 2021 #75
The Indian variants have enough commonality in spike protein substitutions to show that they Celerity May 2021 #77
For goodness sake greenjar_01 May 2021 #44
Taking my mask off Bullfeathers May 2021 #49
The CDC should probably have a look at the UK. róisín_dubh May 2021 #51
Masks should have continued to be required for everybody (both vaxxed and unvaxxed) for at least Heart666 May 2021 #53
the science for fully vaxxed people no longer needing to mask save for very specific situs, is sound Celerity May 2021 #68
I get people wanting to get back to normal. Texaswitchy May 2021 #66
They couldn't persuade about 30% to begin with. Voltaire2 May 2021 #71

Ms. Toad

(34,076 posts)
45. People no more heard the possibility of adjustment in the future
Sat May 15, 2021, 03:51 AM
May 2021

than they heard that the change in guidance pertained only to fully vaccinated people.

Bettie

(16,110 posts)
3. Our local school has said "no masks anywhere" now
Fri May 14, 2021, 06:38 PM
May 2021

only about half of the teachers and staff are vaccinated, the rest say "nope, not me" and well, none of the younger kids, because it only opened up to 12-15 today.

My kiddo gets his first shot tomorrow. Glad he's still online until next year.

JohnSJ

(92,233 posts)
5. Their guidance essentially says if you have be vaccinated you don't need a mask, and if you haven't
Fri May 14, 2021, 06:41 PM
May 2021

you should wear a mask

Is that going encourage anti maskers who haven’t been vaccinated to wear a mask?

Nope

Generic Brad

(14,275 posts)
37. But it will thin the hopeless herd of anti-vaxxers
Fri May 14, 2021, 08:28 PM
May 2021

And they will have no one to blame but themselves.

former9thward

(32,028 posts)
79. How will they be thinned?
Sat May 15, 2021, 09:23 PM
May 2021

75% of seniors have been vaccinated. Covid kills far less than 1% of those below senior age.

Generic Brad

(14,275 posts)
80. I'm not referring to the elderly
Sat May 15, 2021, 10:06 PM
May 2021

I’m referring to the hopeless anti-vaccers. Their safety is compromised. They haven’t cared up until now - so why should we worry about them now?

former9thward

(32,028 posts)
81. I have never cared about them.
Sun May 16, 2021, 12:37 AM
May 2021

People make their own choices. I was just pointing out Covid does not thin out anyone. The death rate is extremely low.

dawg day

(7,947 posts)
6. Well, it's for the vaxxed--
Fri May 14, 2021, 06:43 PM
May 2021

Even if there's a big surge, most of us will be completely safe.

And those refusing the vax aren't wearing masks anyway, unfortunately.

It's the people -- like those on immune-suppressants-- who can't have or don't respond well to the vaccine who are going to be in danger, and that's terrible, because just a mask won't protect them from a surge. They're going to have to go back into virtual lockdown if the virus is rampant again.

dawg day

(7,947 posts)
64. Sigh. I wonder how they became so stupidly stubborn--
Sat May 15, 2021, 09:29 AM
May 2021

I bet 98% of them have had the MMR and polio vaccine... but then, their parents probably loved them. Now they do what Tucker Carlson and Trump tell them to do.

womanofthehills

(8,718 posts)
72. The India variant B.167.2 is the variant of concern says WHO
Sat May 15, 2021, 06:53 PM
May 2021

It’s doubling every day in UK - even under lockdown - not good. Our vaccines might only be 40% effective against it and its already in the US

Texaswitchy

(2,962 posts)
78. Scary as hell.
Sat May 15, 2021, 09:03 PM
May 2021

That is why my housemate and I have gone prepper.

We have my old bedroom full of stuff for the year.

No need to go out.

Plus a big garden and chickens for eggs.

I have plenty to keep me busy.


Ms. Toad

(34,076 posts)
46. I don't think you understand the numbers.
Sat May 15, 2021, 03:57 AM
May 2021

95% save is not "completely safe."

Generally speaking, if your community has such high incidence of the disease that you are constantly in contact with people who are capable of infecting you (in circumstances that would transmit the disease), you only need 20 such contacts to contract the disease. Assuming you were vaccinated in an mRNA vaccine. If you had J&J, you only need 4. That's hardly "completely safe."

The more infection in your community (i.e. the bigger the surge), the more likely you are to encounter those 20 (or 4) COVID-transmitting-contacts before the odds are no longer in your favor.

womanofthehills

(8,718 posts)
73. Also, Forbes reported some new research yesterday
Sat May 15, 2021, 07:02 PM
May 2021

Each month your percentage of vaccine protection goes down - they believe to 50% protection at 6 months (lower for J&J) at which time you will need a booster. I also read 95% protection might be a number for a younger person but as you age your protection will probably be less. Immune systems all work differently - some produce way less antibodies than others.

BigmanPigman

(51,611 posts)
7. Kids will still need to wear them in Elementary Schools
Fri May 14, 2021, 06:47 PM
May 2021

and the community outbreaks will drive the changing guidelines as we move out of this. Fauci just said that people are free to continue to wear masks if they are nervous and that businesses can choose to close if they feel their environment may not be the safest. It is up to communities and current Covid science. Both individuals and businesses will need to continue to follow community guidelines but are free to mask up or not (if fully vaccinated).


*The UNKNOWN now is whether or not a fully vaccinated person who tests positive for covid and has the virus it in their nasal system can infect others. That is why Bill Mahler canceled his show tonight after testing positive after being fully vaccinated weeks ago. He has Covid in his nasal area but can he transmit it to others? We don't know the answer yet.

 

Treefrog

(4,170 posts)
27. South Carolina schools said no masks required anymore.
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:35 PM
May 2021

Heard that on NPR this morning, and there was something about it on CNN as well.

BigmanPigman

(51,611 posts)
38. As a teacher I would wear a mask in schools for another year.
Fri May 14, 2021, 10:05 PM
May 2021

I was sick 90% of the time I was a teacher in K-6, and I always got flu shots, ate and sleep well, exercised regularly, etc. Kids are natural germ factories. The virus is new and even the experts don't know how much virus is shed through the nasal passageways of those fully vaccinated yet they still test positive and are asymptomatic.

Ms. Toad

(34,076 posts)
47. That's not really unknown.
Sat May 15, 2021, 04:02 AM
May 2021

Infected is infected - so yes, if you are infected you can transmit the disease.

(The prior "unknown" was whether COVID prevent infection or just severe disease, and that was only unknown becuase it wasn't tested in the initial research. The research now is pretty solid that it prevents infection(and by extension if you are not infected you cannot transmit the disease to others). But it is not perfect protection - those are the breakthrough cases. There is no science-based reason to believe that once infected the vaccine gives you magic powers that prevent transmission to anyone you come in contact with.

 

RegularJam

(914 posts)
8. People who trust in and believe the CDC will listen to them.
Fri May 14, 2021, 06:47 PM
May 2021

People who don’t, won’t.

Everything Donald touched took a hit. Politicized to the tenth degree. I believe we have a competent CDC.

This question is now regional. There is no such thing as a surge anywhere in the state of FL. Not today, tomorrow, or next month. The CDC’s impact in this state is only with federal buildings and employees.

 

RegularJam

(914 posts)
34. Our state is embracing and living a lie.
Fri May 14, 2021, 08:21 PM
May 2021

It’s bullshit.

I’m very vigilant about my mask. I get what’s going on yet have been painted into a corner. I’m an active and healthy person but have not been vaccinated because of some temporary medications. In my area right now people like me are only being protected by our own decisions. The County I live in did better than most high population areas but over the last month it’s become each person for themselves. No one in the convenience store I go to was masked this morning.

The good news is I’ve been given the green light to get the vaccine next Friday. Have my appointment set. Had to be off the other meds for two weeks.

 

RegularJam

(914 posts)
55. No, I don't think it is.
Sat May 15, 2021, 08:42 AM
May 2021

There is currently no legitimate justification for mask wearing be vaccinated people. If anything, such a continued policy falsely give the vaccine a negative perception. Unlike navel gazing political officianados, the CDC has to publicly defend their decisions and that defense can’t simply be an overwrought emotional argument.

 

RegularJam

(914 posts)
57. Then why is the CDC still calling for unvaccinated persons to wear masks?
Sat May 15, 2021, 08:49 AM
May 2021

Making the statement you did does not bolster your initial point, at all.

Decisions made will always have a political ramification, one way or another. Understanding that does not mean every secession ever made is a political one.

 

RegularJam

(914 posts)
62. Fully agree and have stated it.
Sat May 15, 2021, 09:03 AM
May 2021
https://democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=15431585

The CDC cannot act as you wish they would. They can’t stand there and justify a policy by saying the country is a bunch of liars and acting like children.

Their policy is sound. They cannot publicly justify, by way of science, what you would like them to.

Texaswitchy

(2,962 posts)
9. I am still wearing my mask.
Fri May 14, 2021, 06:50 PM
May 2021

CDC should have waited a few more months.

It will be hard to get people back into masks unless a major breakout happens.

The virus is going to spread again.



Texaswitchy

(2,962 posts)
13. The kids are just starting to get their shots.
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:03 PM
May 2021

Needed to waited until after the kids get theirs first.

By the end of summer would have done it.

Arkansas Granny

(31,519 posts)
15. I'm still wearing mine on public transportation and in crowded indoor spaces.
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:05 PM
May 2021

Less than 1/3 of my state has been vaccinated.i am ready to start going places, just gonna wear my mask when I do.

Tree Lady

(11,477 posts)
31. Me too until cases go down in my area
Fri May 14, 2021, 08:07 PM
May 2021

We are up not down and only 44% has at least one vaccine shot in my county.

SheltieLover

(57,073 posts)
10. Not sure what they were thinking.
Fri May 14, 2021, 06:52 PM
May 2021

I'm not losing my mask / changing social distancing behavior anytime soon, if ever.

Fully vaccinated for a month of so, but vaccines are 94-95% effective & zero guarantees regarding mutations.

Wtaf?

Texaswitchy

(2,962 posts)
21. So many without shots yet or will not get them.
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:21 PM
May 2021

My allergies feel better also.

I hope everything works out.

I have watching YouTube for news on India.

It is scary over there.

SheltieLover

(57,073 posts)
23. Yes, it's very scary over there!
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:24 PM
May 2021

Humans just don't seem to "get it" -- no more cramming together, regardless of how greedy venue owners / operators are.

This CDC "decision" just does not feel right to me. Governors, etc. were not informed ahead of time. Leaves me wondering how many dumpites are left at CDC? I never listen to CDC anyway, as they say whatever is convenient.

I suspect, perhaps,. this time, they are attempting to kill more Americans to suit putin's agenda, or are attempting to placate the maskholes. Whatever their game is this time, it's not sitting right with me.

Texaswitchy

(2,962 posts)
40. I do not feel right about it either.
Fri May 14, 2021, 10:20 PM
May 2021

We have been stocking up on food and essentials.

It is starting to get hot here so I have no urge to go out in the heat.

I can stay home under the AC for the summer.

I can keep myself busy at home.

womanofthehills

(8,718 posts)
74. I cannot believe the CDC does this when the Indian variant arrives in US
Sat May 15, 2021, 07:09 PM
May 2021

The variant has escape mutations - our vaccines might only be 40% effective or less against this strain.

Celerity

(43,419 posts)
35. 'zero guarantees regarding mutations'
Fri May 14, 2021, 08:22 PM
May 2021

The Moderna variant-tweaked vax (mRNA-1273.351) we were given in the Karolinska Universitetssjukhuset experimental trial here in Stockholm is showing as high, or higher efficacy so far against the main variants out there as it does against the legacy strains. We got our immunity results back Thursday (from a draw draw 2 weeks after our 2nd vax dose We got the equivalent of the NIH Experimental Arm 2C I list below, and all 4 major immunity cohorts (B Cell, T Helper Cell, T Killer Cell, and Antibody counts) were off the charts.

https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04785144




this is from the Moderna US trials:

https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/950650



I'm not losing my mask / changing social distancing behavior anytime soon, if ever.


Ever? I have no idea of your age and/or your comorbidities, but zero chance we (my family) are forever altering our lives to that extent. Perhaps you have reasons that mandate such drastic moves, and if so, you have my sincere condolences. Hopefully someday you can find a work-around.


DetroitLegalBeagle

(1,924 posts)
18. Probably
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:12 PM
May 2021

I don't see mask mandates anywhere lasting through the summer, nor do I forsee the ability to implement new mandates if there is another surge. Once they come off and distancing ends, it will be extremely difficult to get people to comply again unless a surge results in a massive spike of deaths.

Biophilic

(3,666 posts)
20. When I went shopping this morning everyone was still wearing masks even in the
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:19 PM
May 2021

outside plant shop. Yes, I live in a well educated city, but it doesn't appear people are suddenly dropping their guard and jumping in without thinking. Most of us have spent over a year trying to protect ourselves and loved ones from Covid 19. Telling us to suddenly not worry about it isn't making sense to many of us.

Texaswitchy

(2,962 posts)
24. So right.
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:32 PM
May 2021

I am staying out of crowds.

No way to tell who had shots and who didn't.

I go out but I will protect myself.

Biophilic

(3,666 posts)
28. Seems like a lot of us are doing that. Right now it is relatively easy for those of us
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:36 PM
May 2021

vaccinated to stay safe and stay well. I know, I'm thinking like a Democrat not a republican. Thank heavens for my friends and family.

Ace Rothstein

(3,164 posts)
22. There probably won't be a surge due to immunity.
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:22 PM
May 2021

Between the vaccinated and the large number of cases we've had there just aren't enough hosts for the virus to grow exponentially.

Takket

(21,578 posts)
30. yeah the bridge is burned, there is no going back now
Fri May 14, 2021, 07:57 PM
May 2021

I am shocked they handled this the way they did: very poorly. They just burst out and announced this with no warning, and they have left a lot of local governments and businesses still concerned with the health and safety of their citizens/guests scrambling to figure out what to do next. I can't speak for every state but here in Michigan after the announcement the state health department said they were "evaluating" the new guidelines. Sounded to me like they were caught completely off guard by this, and if you want to encourage mask wearing, the CDC just kneecapped any credibility you have to say so.

The USA reported 40000 cases yesterday and 800 deaths which were both #3 in the world. I would be curious to now what metric the CDC looked at that said mask wearing was no longer a benefit to slowing the pandemic. and even if that metric exists, i would like to know why there seemed to be no effort at all to ease into this announcement hand in hand with state/local health departments.

Celerity

(43,419 posts)
36. I see classic cognitive dissonance running riot (NOT just on DU).
Fri May 14, 2021, 08:27 PM
May 2021

I find it so ironic that many (again NOT just on DU) who (correctly) used 'trust the science' as a guidepost, now want to toss the science in the bin because they do not like the science.

Celerity

(43,419 posts)
42. It is only going to get worse I fear. I already see it happening, the aggression level from one side
Fri May 14, 2021, 10:25 PM
May 2021

is rising. I can see it causing a paradigmatic schism on this board. I hope it does not escalate to the point where true incommensurability is cemented in place and that in turn kneecaps fruitful dialogue and exchange.

Texaswitchy

(2,962 posts)
41. I know what happening in India right now.
Fri May 14, 2021, 10:23 PM
May 2021

It is really terrible.

People are dieing in huge numbers.

They thought everything was ok.

It wasn't.

Celerity

(43,419 posts)
43. A brief discussion on India, variants, spike protein substitutions, and variant-tweaked vaccines
Sat May 15, 2021, 12:40 AM
May 2021

The 3 variants (plus origin strain) in India are not some brand new, black swan event type of mutation. They share the ancestral spike protein substitution (D614G) that is a commonalty to all known mutations so far, PLUS they have the key spike sub (L452R) that they share with the 2 Californian strains. The latest current literature shows that none of the 4 Indian strains are so far as nasty as the South African B.1.351 variant. India was never 'ok', it was and is a 1.4 billion person living, breathing, filthy, massively poor, incredibly unhealthy petri dish, with a madman (Modi) for a leader. It always was a disaster waiting to happen.

SARS-CoV-2 Variant Classifications and Definitions

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html

Original Indian Strain B.1.617 Spike Protein Substitutions: L452R, E484Q, D614G

First Indian Variant B.1.617.1 Spike Protein Substitutions: (T95I), G142D, E154K, L452R, E484Q, D614G, P681R, Q1071H

2nd Indian Variant (the worst one there) B.1.617.2 Spike Protein Substitutions: T19R, (G142D), Δ156, Δ157, R158G, L452R, T478K, D614G, P681R, D950N

Third Indian Variant B.1.617.3 Spike Protein Substitutions: T19R, G142D, L452R, E484Q, D614G, P681R, D950N

South African Variant (the worst one on the planet so far found) B.1.351 Spike Protein Substitutions: D80A, D215G, Δ241/242/243, K417N, E484K, N501Y, D614G, A701V

Brasilian Variant P.1 Spike Protein Substitutions: L18F, T20N, P26S, D138Y, R190S, K417T, E484K, N501Y, D614G, H655Y, T1027I

UK Variant B.1.1.7 Spike Protein Substitutions: Δ69/70, Δ144, (E484K*), (S494P*), N501Y, A570D, D614G, P681H, T716I, S982A, D1118H (K1191N*)

First Californian Variant B.1.427 Spike Protein Substitutions: L452R, D614G

2nd Californian Variant B.1.429 Spike Protein Substitutions: S13I, W152C, L452R, D614G


The B.1.1.7, B.1.351, P.1, B.1.427, and B.1.429 variants circulating in the United States are classified as variants of concern.

To date, no variants of high consequence have been identified in the United States.

In laboratory studies, specific monoclonal antibody treatments may be less effective for treating cases of COVID-19 caused by variants with the L452R or E484K substitution in the spike protein.

L452R is present in B.1.526.1, B.1.427, and B.1.429.

E484K is present in B.1.525, P.2, P.1, and B.1.351, but only some strains of B.1.526 and B.1.1.7.


The Moderna variant-tweaked vax (mRNA-1273.351) we were given in the Karolinska Universitetssjukhuset experimental trial here in Stockholm is showing as high, or higher efficacy so far against all the main variants out there as it does against the legacy strains. This includes the Californian strains that are somewhat similar to the new Indian variants.

We got our immunity results back Thursday (from a draw draw 2 weeks after our 2nd vax dose We got the equivalent of the NIH Experimental Arm 2C I list below, and all 4 major immunity cohorts (B Cell, T Helper Cell, T Killer Cell, and Antibody counts) were off the charts.

We (my wife and I) had a robust discussion 2 of our experimental trial doctors about the Indian variants, and they said that so far, they fully expect a similar efficacy rate for the mRNA-1273.351 vaccine against them as the others (which is currently over 95% based off the latest data coming off the 2 weeks post-2nd jab blood draws.) They also said that if a tweaked (for the B.1.617.1 Indian strains) booster shot is needed, that it would be a super fast turn around to spin it up. Our tweaked vax was produced in a few WEEKS, soon after 18 December 2020, the date of the reporting of the variant by the SA governmental heath department.

mRNA vaccines are paradigm changers. I trust the science, I am living breathing proof of how quickly humans can now respond to viruses. I absolutely feel comfortable not wearing a mask. We caught the origin strain of COVID in April, 2020 despite masking and socially isolating. We were asymptomatic, we only found out as my firm had a some antibody tests done for us. Post infection, until the variants hit here in Stockholm, we did not wear masks, as we had full natural immunity in spades (remember we were and are in, a long study for natural immunity, for a year now, even after we got the new vax, we are still being monitored.)


https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04785144




this is from the Moderna US trials:

https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/950650




The bottom line is, if we, amongst the most protected (and protecting in terms of our body's functioning at a molecular level) people now on the planet (less than 500 of us, per our trial doctor's knowledge, running around on the globe with this new variant-tweaked vax coursing though our bodies), with our already high natural immunity from the original infection, and with our superb physical shape (multi-sport participation, including a shit tonne of running and biking and skiing/roller-skiing), youth (we are both 24yo), no children, zero comorbidities, etc etc ...... if WE, given that massively unique set of circumstances, are not able to go without a mask, no one is. I honestly believe that, and I do understand that we are ultra extreme examples, but being such, I can well and truly ask the question: If not us, who then?

We (especially us, due to the tweaked vax) are not passing COVID on to other people (per the CDC, and per a myriad number of doctors here we have had vigorous discussions with), as we will not shed virally even if exposed, so that rationale goes into the bin. The science absolutely backs this up so far.

All that said, the unvaxxed, children (only if unvaxxed), and people with underlying comorbidities/susceptibility (such as transplant patients, etc) SHOULD wear masks. That is the science as well. Those cohorts do not include us, so we are not bound by that.

Ms. Toad

(34,076 posts)
48. There is a difference between trusting the science -
Sat May 15, 2021, 04:12 AM
May 2021

and trusing the CDC.

I absolutely trust the science, which is why I reject this latest pronouncement by the CDC. It is inconsistent with the science. I'm not tossing the science, I'm tossing the CDC - whose track record (even 3 months into this administration) on COVID transmission is still a day late and a dollar short.

I'd find it amusing, if it weren't so sad and scary, that the same folks who insisted I was greatly exaggerating the concerns in January/February 2020, when I accurately predicted the course of the pandemic, are once again jumping on the train to claim the dangers are still being exaggerated.

uponit7771

(90,347 posts)
63. Here's the article on the Data the CDC followed (link)
Sat May 15, 2021, 09:08 AM
May 2021
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna932

Do you see anything off in what their using in regards to why they're lifting mask mandate?

I'm still of the mindset that it's better safe than sorry and we should wear mask to the end of the month, give masquerade a specific metric instead of some arbitrary announcement.

Ms. Toad

(34,076 posts)
69. There are a number of issues with it.
Sat May 15, 2021, 01:00 PM
May 2021

First - the data was gathered in the current setting - one in which mitigation measures are still being taken.

If you are vaccinated with an mRNA vaccine, you are 95% protected (it doesn't work quite that way - but it is helpful to see the error in the CDC's reasoning). That means out of 20 exposures that would give an unvaccinated person COVID, only one will give you COVID. (For J&J, one out of four that would give an unvaccinated person COVID).

Whle we are still masking, still social distancing, still avoiding large indoor crowds (taking mitigation measrures), we are subjected to very few of those exposures. Once people feel free to abandon the mitigation measures, those of us who are vaccinated will reach that 20th expousre a heck of a lot faster than the data collected while mitigation measures are in place would indicate. 5% of 10 COVID-creating exposures (low becaue of the mitigation) is a heck of a less than 5% of 1000 COVID-creating exposures (high because all of the mitigation measures are being dropped).

So our personal risk goes up when, for example, Trader Joes says unvaccinated people can shop without masks - and, oh, by the way, it's on the honor system. My personal risk goes up June 2 when Ohio drops all health orders (no more masking, no more limits on gatherings, etc.) There will be a lot more breakthrough cases because we will be forced into more situations that would give an unvaccinated person COVID - and 5% of dramatically more expoosures is also dramatically more breakthrough cases.

And that only looks at their assessment of the personal risk to a single vaccinated person. It doesn't take into account that the variants impact children more (both infection and severity of infection) - and children under 12 are not yet eligible to be vaccinated. Again - currently our children are protected (solely) by the community mitigation efforts. Once those mitigation are removed - before children are permitted to be vaccinated - they will have no protection. Same for people who can't be immunized or - if immunized - cannot develop immunity. Their safety - and freedom from death or life-long consequences depends on taking community mitigation measures (For example. the heart damage that is being recorded in children in even asymptomatic cases ("Case studies also show MIS-C can strike seemingly healthy children without warning three or four weeks after asymptomatic infections" ) .

So, while there are flaws at the CDC's micro-view of the vaccinated person's risk - the most significant problem is that this new proclamaton is being perceived as permisson to remove mitigation measures across the board (both for vaccinated and *wink-wink" non-vaccinated people, as well) - and anyone with half a brain could have predicted it would be taken that way. The county board of health acted in reliance on it the day it was issued, by removing all mitigation measures in the county - citing the CDC's myopic verson of the science of transmission.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
58. True
Sat May 15, 2021, 08:50 AM
May 2021

Though on this end, it's a better safe than sorry approach. Or hyper-caution. Whereas with anti-vaxxer-maskers, it is risk-taking.

Celerity

(43,419 posts)
65. Depends how the rejection is framed. I did not make a universal statement, thus there is no false
Sat May 15, 2021, 09:33 AM
May 2021

equivalency, as the cognitive dissonance of which I spoke most definitely does exist in more than a few cases (again not just on DU, of course).

That all said, obviously there are, atm, a shedload of people who still need to wear a mask, such as anyone that is still unvaccinated, children (until vaxxed, then if they have no underlying threats otherwise, they can bin the masks eventually) and then the people with comorbidities, especially immunodeficient folk, and transplant patients, etc etc.

I also can see, as I stated here:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100215431649#post42

this entire subject starting to rip this board apart. The signs are already there. Not good.

I would suggest a separate 'COVID Forum' be made, just like DU does with the Primaries, in order to confine the inevitable acrimony away from the rest of the daily events. I also highly doubt anyone will do so, thus it is what it is.

I myself am going to make this (hopefully) the last 'to mask or not to mask, that is question' thread in which I personally participate. I laid out in detail above ( https://www.democraticunderground.com/100215431649#post43 at the bottom of that) why I am making the choice I am making.

67. It's mind boggling. Frankly, the motivations of people who dismissed the seriousness of COVID were
Sat May 15, 2021, 11:10 AM
May 2021

much easier to understand - that was nothing new - people denying the danger of something to avoid having to do something they didn't want to do (i.e. wear a mask; quit smoking; wear a seat belt, etc). But the opposite confounds me - people denying the SAFETY of something in order to justify continuing to do something that you would think a typical person wouldn't WANT to do.

womanofthehills

(8,718 posts)
75. Have you been following Dr Walensky, the CDC Director
Sat May 15, 2021, 07:21 PM
May 2021

She goes on Rachel’s show and says you cannot get the virus if you get the shots & then has to retract that the next day. What kind of person would do and say that? All the time while she is saying this the CDC released it got over 9000 reports of Vax breakthroughs. The CDC says the numbers of breakthroughs is much higher because these were reported to CDC and most are not reported. So, let’s see - breakthroughs are rising, Indian variants that might evade vaccinedhave arrived in US - great time to all take off your masks

Celerity

(43,419 posts)
77. The Indian variants have enough commonality in spike protein substitutions to show that they
Sat May 15, 2021, 07:41 PM
May 2021

will almost certainly not 'evade' the mRNA vaccines, especially if another variant-tweaked vax (like mRNA-1273.351, which my wife and I have received in a trial here in Stockholm) is spun up. mRNA-1273.351 is already showing extremely robust efficacy across the board for all variants tested so far.

I go into some depth on it all here:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100215431649#post43

and why we, given our set of circumstances, are not going to mask anymore.

Like I said in that reply,

If not us, who, then?

You, of course, are free to do what you think is right for you.

 

Bullfeathers

(108 posts)
49. Taking my mask off
Sat May 15, 2021, 04:19 AM
May 2021

is like asking me to not wear a seat belt. I don’t believe masks are going away. We (not speaking for everyone) will always wear a mask in certain situations. Like one of the posters said in using public transportation or getting on a plane. Just my 2 cents. Masks are here to stay

róisín_dubh

(11,795 posts)
51. The CDC should probably have a look at the UK.
Sat May 15, 2021, 07:51 AM
May 2021

The India variant is here and spreading. Who the hell knows what we'll be dealing with over here in a few weeks. I'm fully vaccinated thanks to work, and I still wear a mask everywhere it's required (which is pretty much everywhere).

Heart666

(8 posts)
53. Masks should have continued to be required for everybody (both vaxxed and unvaxxed) for at least
Sat May 15, 2021, 08:14 AM
May 2021

3 more months. Possibly as many as 6 more months.

I thought that Fauci and the epidemiologists were over the top last week when they were talking until masking until about next Mother’s Day. Truthfully, they were probably deliberately portraying the worst case scenario as the probable scenario, just so nobody would be disappointed if the worst case scenario happened.

But lifting masks now? Seriously?

Celerity

(43,419 posts)
68. the science for fully vaxxed people no longer needing to mask save for very specific situs, is sound
Sat May 15, 2021, 11:23 AM
May 2021

welcome to DU

Texaswitchy

(2,962 posts)
66. I get people wanting to get back to normal.
Sat May 15, 2021, 10:33 AM
May 2021

Normal for me is going out but wearing a mask.

I go places but take precautions.

We have gone to the beach several times.

Open places.

I have three kinds of masks and never thought it was so terrible to wear them.

The facts are there to many people yet without the shot.

A few more months for them to get them especially the kids would have been nice.

I hope for the best but prepare for the worst.

Voltaire2

(13,072 posts)
71. They couldn't persuade about 30% to begin with.
Sat May 15, 2021, 06:37 PM
May 2021

If this theoretical surge is from a new strain immune to current vaccines, those of us who did the right thing for a year will do that again as needed

If this theoretical surge is just among the willfully unvaccinated, what would be the point of the rest of us masking up?

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