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brooklynite

(94,598 posts)
Thu May 27, 2021, 12:11 PM May 2021

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022

CNN

(CNN)The midterm elections are still 18 months away, but the fight for control of the Senate is already shaping what gets done in the nation's capital this year.

In an evenly divided Senate, where Vice President Kamala Harris gives Democrats the tie-breaking vote, every vote matters. That's proven to be a crucial consideration for President Joe Biden as he tried to pass his Covid-19 relief plan and now his infrastructure and jobs proposals.

Looking ahead to next year, that means every Senate race matters. Republicans only need to flip one seat to take back the majority, while Democrats are eager to cushion their majority by picking off a few more seats currently held by GOP senators.

Democrats' best opportunity to do that is in Pennsylvania, which CNN ranks the seat most likely to flip partisan control for the third month in a row. The top 10 Senate seats most likely to flip are based on CNN's reporting and fundraising data, as well as historical data about how states and candidates have performed. As the cycle heats up, polling and advertising spending data will also become factors. Our ranking first published in March and was updated in April.

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The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 (Original Post) brooklynite May 2021 OP
Not surprised to see Florida at No. 9 bearsfootball516 May 2021 #1

bearsfootball516

(6,377 posts)
1. Not surprised to see Florida at No. 9
Thu May 27, 2021, 12:24 PM
May 2021

That's gonna be really tough, no matter who our nominee is. Rubio has got near universal name recognition, an untouchable war chest and is well-liked among Latinos. I hope we don't pour hundreds of millions into that race only to have Rubio cruise to a 10 point win.

Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and North Carolina have serious flip potential though.

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