Tropical Depression approaching the Carolinas -expected late Monday

[malaise]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
Satellite imagery and nearby buoy and ship observations indicate
that a small low pressure system has formed about 500 miles
east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border. Surface
pressures have begun to fall across the area, and showers and
thunderstorms have recently become better organized. Some additional
development of this system will be possible later today, and
especially on Monday when the system will move across the warmer
waters of the Gulf Stream, and a tropical depression could form
before the system makes landfall along the southern U.S. coast. The
low is expected to move westward today, and then west-northwestward
at about 15 mph on Monday, reaching the coast of the southeastern
United States by late Monday. An Air Force Reserve Unit
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
Monday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

[OneBlueDotS-Carolina]

1. Forcasters need a consenous conference...;-)

Regardless, we're ready for the season, assisted by over a year of some health thing....


.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Forecast confidence: Moderate through Monday, then moderate to
high.

The main feature of interest this period will be a tropical wave
heading west toward the area Monday, which has a low chance of
becoming a weak tropical cyclone before reaching the coast late in
the day. Whether this system actually develops into a weak tropical
cyclone or not, the main impacts will be some heavy rain and breezy
conditions (mainly near the coast). Higher-res model guidance
suggests some spots could pick up a few inches of rain Monday, and
this could lead to some localized flooding as the rainfall will be
tropical in nature. The greatest risk of flooding looks to be near
the GA coast, especially in urban areas around the mid day high
tide.

Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure will generally prevail, although
deep moisture and the sea breeze will lead to near to slightly above
normal rain chances, mainly during the daytime. The threat for
severe storms is very low given the limited bulk shear, meaning the
best chance will be associated with mesoscale boundary collisions.
Highs will likely stay below normal while lows will likely be
slightly above normal.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=CHS&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

[SheltieLover]

2. Stay safe, all!

[malaise]

3. This won't be the big 4th July hurricane

Should be mostly water

[SheltieLover]

4. Good to know.

Ty! I'm far inland, but worry for others in the way.