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Renew Deal

(81,861 posts)
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:25 AM Jul 2021

Will humans ever go extinct?

Do you think "humans" will ever go extinct? That means there are no more homosapiens or our evolutionary successor anywhere in the universe, most likely because of an adverse event.


29 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
Yes, humans (and their successors) will go extinct
26 (90%)
No, humans (and their successors) will never go extinct
2 (7%)
Not sure
1 (3%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
65 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Will humans ever go extinct? (Original Post) Renew Deal Jul 2021 OP
I think... Renew Deal Jul 2021 #1
We're working on it, right now. elleng Jul 2021 #2
+1 live love laugh Jul 2021 #16
+1 SheltieLover Jul 2021 #23
Without a timeframe, impossible to respond to. brooklynite Jul 2021 #3
Would a timeframe be helpful? Renew Deal Jul 2021 #5
True relayerbob Jul 2021 #14
"Ever" is the problem. Even our universe is supposed to end. Hortensis Jul 2021 #51
Pretty soon. (In universe time) UTUSN Jul 2021 #4
Of course Spider Jerusalem Jul 2021 #6
yes, because the universe (which was referenced in the question) eventually ends nt Celerity Jul 2021 #7
Ha. How do we know that? Renew Deal Jul 2021 #8
many different theories on how 'it' ends (I personally do think this universe ending is the end Celerity Jul 2021 #11
We should go extinct. We have ruined this planet 🌎 with greed. Funtatlaguy Jul 2021 #9
Eventually...but not likely for thousands or even hundred of thousands of years. Drunken Irishman Jul 2021 #10
I think in less than 200 years. Dan Jul 2021 #17
I don't think that would lead to extinction. Crunchy Frog Jul 2021 #24
Maybe, we should define Dan Jul 2021 #26
The species exists as long as there are survivors. Crunchy Frog Jul 2021 #30
You're right, but I was thinking Dan Jul 2021 #32
If it was down to two survivors, then extinction would be likely. Crunchy Frog Jul 2021 #35
What you say sounds as if you're taking for granted we would retain all current knowledge misanthrope Jul 2021 #47
Voted not sure... Wounded Bear Jul 2021 #12
We seem to have already lost our humanity, our benevolence Ziggysmom Jul 2021 #13
Fun topic TheProle Jul 2021 #15
Very interesting, and it asks just what do we mean by "lasting"-- if not in our physical form... TreasonousBastard Jul 2021 #45
Lots of ideas in that article. Renew Deal Jul 2021 #53
I ate waaay too many brownies today True Dough Jul 2021 #18
Extinct vs extreme depopulation relayerbob Jul 2021 #19
Methane hydrate and hydrogen sulfide will be released in large amounts StevieM Jul 2021 #61
Maybe not until the universe itself ends. Crunchy Frog Jul 2021 #20
Or the other way around Renew Deal Jul 2021 #55
I doubt very much that we're going to make it to the Dark Era. Dial H For Hero Jul 2021 #21
If climate change doesn't get us, AI will. roamer65 Jul 2021 #22
In that case, AI will be our successors, Crunchy Frog Jul 2021 #25
Our extinction, yes. roamer65 Jul 2021 #38
I'm just going by the wording of the OP, which Crunchy Frog Jul 2021 #40
I don't count terminators as our successors. Renew Deal Jul 2021 #56
True. roamer65 Jul 2021 #57
Absolutely. People who have fantasies of humans colonizing other worlds/bodies in a RockRaven Jul 2021 #27
It's our only chance Ex Lurker Jul 2021 #28
It can be the only chance and no chance at all at the same time. RockRaven Jul 2021 #42
What does innumeracy have to do with it? Silent3 Jul 2021 #34
Innumeracy has a fuck-ton to do with it since Earth is going to be inside the surface of the Sun RockRaven Jul 2021 #41
None of what you are talking about missed my consideration Silent3 Jul 2021 #58
I think a lot will be decided in the next 200 years. StevieM Jul 2021 #29
Yes Meowmee Jul 2021 #31
Well, yes, of course. PoindexterOglethorpe Jul 2021 #33
Congratulations on reaching 20,000 posts. StevieM Jul 2021 #59
Hey! I hadn't even noticed I'd passed that milestone. PoindexterOglethorpe Jul 2021 #65
We will see the sun go dark. eom sprinkleeninow Jul 2021 #36
In the short term (and I'm considering mere thousands of years short term)... Silent3 Jul 2021 #37
Point taken, but I will repeat what I have written elsewhere in this thread. StevieM Jul 2021 #62
So who is going to know? keithbvadu2 Jul 2021 #39
they say every dog has his day rampartc Jul 2021 #43
Unless we find a way to leave our solar system and thrive there of course we will. GulfCoast66 Jul 2021 #44
I'm probably the last person to have a say dweller Jul 2021 #46
No, humans will not go extinct--- UNLESS--- DemocraticPatriot Jul 2021 #48
George Carlin: "The planet is fine. The people are fucked." betsuni Jul 2021 #49
Tuesday after next, by my reckoning. hunter Jul 2021 #50
End of the World. melm00se Jul 2021 #52
Eventually but Elessar Zappa Jul 2021 #54
That is something that I have been wondering about. StevieM Jul 2021 #60
Probably not for a long time, because some very powerful Quixote1818 Jul 2021 #63
Since the last star will probably die in 100 trillion years the only way humans can live forever marie999 Jul 2021 #64

Renew Deal

(81,861 posts)
1. I think...
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:27 AM
Jul 2021

that the longer that humans are on earth, the more likely they can spread out in the solar system, and eventually galaxy in order to survive. So at some point, children could be born on Jupiter's moons. Combine that with improved technology, and they can expand further.

Renew Deal

(81,861 posts)
5. Would a timeframe be helpful?
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:31 AM
Jul 2021

2,000 years?
65,000 years?
1 million years?
10 billion years?

How long do you think we can last? Will we be around to see the sun explode?

 

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
6. Of course
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:32 AM
Jul 2021

even in the exceptionally unlikely event that humanity somehow masters intergalactic space travel at some point and expands across the known universe, you can't outrun entropy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#Earth,_the_Solar_System_and_the_universe

In the short term, the way things are going with climate change and our collective response to it, I rather expect that human extinction is going to happen a lot sooner; we're likely looking at a similar extinction event to the end-Permian (which was driven by climate change due to atmospheric carbon, methane and other greenhouse gases released from the Siberian Traps).

Celerity

(43,415 posts)
11. many different theories on how 'it' ends (I personally do think this universe ending is the end
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:41 AM
Jul 2021

of 'ALL')

lack of knowledge about dark matter and dark energy make it impossible to accurately predict as of now

Ultimate fate of the universe

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultimate_fate_of_the_universe

Dan

(3,570 posts)
17. I think in less than 200 years.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:47 AM
Jul 2021

Climate change and over population.

Which will lead to food shortages…

Which will lead to wars…

Which will lead to an extinction event.

Crunchy Frog

(26,587 posts)
24. I don't think that would lead to extinction.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:58 AM
Jul 2021

Major social collapse and population crash, yes, but at least a few of us would survive, as long as the planet is still capable of supporting life.

Life on Earth has survived much worse than anything we've managed to dish out, and will probably continue to.

Dan

(3,570 posts)
26. Maybe, we should define
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:03 AM
Jul 2021

What is an extinction level event.

And then, at what point a “few” survivors constitute a species survival.

Crunchy Frog

(26,587 posts)
30. The species exists as long as there are survivors.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:13 AM
Jul 2021

And becomes extinct once there aren't any more. Pretty straightforward.

Extinction doesn't mean "not surviving in the manner to which we have become accustomed".

Dan

(3,570 posts)
32. You're right, but I was thinking
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:17 AM
Jul 2021

Not of a lifestyle to which we are accustomed, but rather with very few survivors can it repopulate a world. In theory, I guess if two people survived of opposite sexes, then yes survival is possible.

Crunchy Frog

(26,587 posts)
35. If it was down to two survivors, then extinction would be likely.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:25 AM
Jul 2021

But only once the survivors were gone.

If we have a major population crash, I'm not sure that repopulating the world would be the best plan.

We'd be much better off maintaining a sustainable lifestyle with a much smaller population. It might even enable other species to live on the planet with us.

I've never understood the notion that there needs to be as many of us as we can possibly cram into this world. Our species did just fine when there were only a few million of us.

misanthrope

(7,418 posts)
47. What you say sounds as if you're taking for granted we would retain all current knowledge
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 04:16 AM
Jul 2021

The kind of events that precipitate a population bottleneck would likely reduce surviving humans to no more than a Bronze Age existence, with Neolithic as likely. Specialized knowledge, the basis of our civilization, would vanish.

Wounded Bear

(58,670 posts)
12. Voted not sure...
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:42 AM
Jul 2021

right now we are testing whether or not we are intelligent enough to overcome our intelligence.

We're smart enough to build a lot of fancy shit. Are we smart enough to survive the side effects of using them?

Not sure.

TreasonousBastard

(43,049 posts)
45. Very interesting, and it asks just what do we mean by "lasting"-- if not in our physical form...
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 03:15 AM
Jul 2021

perhaps in some digital or spiritual form.

Renew Deal

(81,861 posts)
53. Lots of ideas in that article.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 09:05 AM
Jul 2021

I think the digital existence concept is risky. One of the biggest risks is corruption via malicious threats like hacking/viruses. I also think there are serious moral issues with digital existence. Losing the risk of dying could make the digital world extremely dangerous. Also, those morally opposed to digital existence could attack the system. That said, if I had the chance to upload my consciousness with the chance to “live forever,” I’d take it. I wonder if there are any punishments in the digital world that could lead to termination of your existence.

A Netflix show called Altered Carbon explores these topics.

relayerbob

(6,544 posts)
19. Extinct vs extreme depopulation
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:49 AM
Jul 2021

Losing 7.5 billion people is certainly feasible, and fairly soon. Howevr, the tech will likely keep some survivors around

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
61. Methane hydrate and hydrogen sulfide will be released in large amounts
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:37 PM
Jul 2021

when we reach 6 degrees celsius (10.8 degrees fahrenheit) of warming. That could finish us off.

Crunchy Frog

(26,587 posts)
20. Maybe not until the universe itself ends.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:51 AM
Jul 2021

I don't think beings like ourselves will be around that long, but whatever our successors are.

I just hope our successors don't end up killing everything else in the universe.

Renew Deal

(81,861 posts)
55. Or the other way around
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 09:08 AM
Jul 2021

One of the articles someone posted mentioned how to colonize the universe. I don’t see why another intelligent species couldn’t do the same thing. I’m not convinced that broadcasting ourselves all over the universe is a great idea.

 

Dial H For Hero

(2,971 posts)
21. I doubt very much that we're going to make it to the Dark Era.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 12:51 AM
Jul 2021

That's ten to the hundredth power years from now. A "1" followed by a hundred zeroes.

Crunchy Frog

(26,587 posts)
40. I'm just going by the wording of the OP, which
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:56 AM
Jul 2021

only counts it as extinction if we leave no evolutionary successors.

AI that survives us would qualify as our successor.

If you're going strictly by the survival of Homo sapiens, then that's a different question than what the poll asks.

Renew Deal

(81,861 posts)
56. I don't count terminators as our successors.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 09:11 AM
Jul 2021

Getting wiped out by the machines would certainly be the end of the line for humans. But I don’t think the machines benefit from doing that. Humans would make useful slaves.

RockRaven

(14,974 posts)
27. Absolutely. People who have fantasies of humans colonizing other worlds/bodies in a
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:05 AM
Jul 2021
perpetual, sustainable manner are either innumerate or lying to themselves, IMO.

Ex Lurker

(3,814 posts)
28. It's our only chance
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:09 AM
Jul 2021

Even if we learn to live in complete harmony with nature, the Sun will eventually burn up the Earth.

RockRaven

(14,974 posts)
42. It can be the only chance and no chance at all at the same time.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:06 AM
Jul 2021


Kind of doesn't matter though because none of us will ever know...

Silent3

(15,233 posts)
34. What does innumeracy have to do with it?
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:19 AM
Jul 2021

We don't know what the limits are of future technology, and without knowing that, it's impossible to put any numbers you might have in mind into any definitive scale.

Given a cheap source of abundant energy, many things become possible that aren't with our current energy resources.

Would I want to depend on our ability to escape this planet in a significant way? Absolutely not. But, on the other hand, if we can manage not to fuck things up so badly we collapse civilization, it seems foolish to imagine we know the limits of, say, another 500 years of advancing technology.

RockRaven

(14,974 posts)
41. Innumeracy has a fuck-ton to do with it since Earth is going to be inside the surface of the Sun
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:03 AM
Jul 2021

in the long term (an extraordinarily large number of years from now but inevitable nonetheless), and that means human or human decendent survival means going off-planet.

Numeracy/innumeracy matters in that regard because of volumes being cubes of radii, flux and gravity being squares of radii, and the extinction dangers posed by evolutionary bottlenecks, just to name a few reasons...

Silent3

(15,233 posts)
58. None of what you are talking about missed my consideration
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:21 PM
Jul 2021

The big time scale only favors humans managing to get off the planet before the Sun swallows up the Earth, so how that adds to your argument that colonizing space in a sustainable way being a fantasy is quite unclear.

Of course, I'm not saying humans definitely will colonize space. Just that colonizing space in the long term is not a numerical fantasy.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
29. I think a lot will be decided in the next 200 years.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:10 AM
Jul 2021

If we can survive the worst of climate change then it is possible that our successors will evolve to an extraordinary degree and develop incredible powers and capabilities.

The scariest part of climate change is the hydrogen sulfide and methane hydrate that will be released at 6 degrees celsius (10.8 degrees fahrenheit) of warming. That is what could bring about an extinction event for a lot of species, including humans.

The key to surviving climate change will IMO ultimately be whether we can use nuclear power to achieve a geoengineering program that removes carbon from the atmosphere.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(25,862 posts)
33. Well, yes, of course.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:18 AM
Jul 2021

Although as Renew Deal points out, without a time frame the question makes no sense.

All species eventually go extinct. A million years is a VERY long time for most species. Chances are, even without climate change, homo sapiens will be long gone well within that time frame.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
59. Congratulations on reaching 20,000 posts.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:32 PM
Jul 2021

I think homo sapiens will definitely be gone. The question is whether our evolutionary successor is also gone.

Silent3

(15,233 posts)
37. In the short term (and I'm considering mere thousands of years short term)...
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 01:27 AM
Jul 2021

...it seems unlikely humans would go extinct. Oh, we're quite capable of sending ourselves back into the stone age, and killing off 99.99% or more of the population, but cutting down nearly 8 billion people to numbers so small that scattered survivors couldn't keep going at some meager level of existence... that's a lot harder to do than I think many people imagine. Humans have reached the level we've reached so far in part because we're very adaptable to a wide range of environments and climates.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
62. Point taken, but I will repeat what I have written elsewhere in this thread.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:39 PM
Jul 2021

The scariest part of climate change is the hydrogen sulfide and methane hydrate that will be released at 6 degrees celsius (10.8 degrees fahrenheit) of warming. That is what could bring about an extinction event for a lot of species, including humans.

You should check out this article. If you don't have time to read the whole thing then skip to the final few paragraphs where is describes what happens at 6 degrees.

http://globalwarming.berrens.nl/globalwarming.htm?fbclid=IwAR3nSMwxlQIMupZRwA8uLBjaTX3DhqT3e6oWm8YM1y2cTcYreaUamnWwXZ4

rampartc

(5,412 posts)
43. they say every dog has his day
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:35 AM
Jul 2021

but when we are extinct felines will become the dominant mammalian life form.

the planet will still belong, as it has since jurrasic times, to the hymenopteae.

if we could only learn to cooperate .......

https://cisr.ucr.edu/invasive-species/argentine-ant

Due to unusually low levels of intraspecific aggression the Argentine ant can establish extremely large colonies.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
44. Unless we find a way to leave our solar system and thrive there of course we will.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:41 AM
Jul 2021

Eventually the sun will swell and destroy us. Yeah, billions of years from now. Until then? I figure some of will hang on. We are pretty resourceful.

dweller

(23,641 posts)
46. I'm probably the last person to have a say
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 03:22 AM
Jul 2021

But I believe as long as the Earth survives, there will be life
For us to judge whether ‘we’ are the ultimate example of that existence, is our mistake, and will be our eventual doom
Self importance will end us

ymmv,

✌🏻

DemocraticPatriot

(4,372 posts)
48. No, humans will not go extinct--- UNLESS---
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 04:28 AM
Jul 2021

we destroy each other, and the planet, to such an extent that the few survivors will not be able to find another human to breed with....

:-/

hunter

(38,317 posts)
50. Tuesday after next, by my reckoning.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 08:12 AM
Jul 2021

Party on, Homo sapiens!



I could have chosen a lucrative field in biology, something like medicine or genetics, instead I decided to study evolution.

99% plus plus of all species are extinct.

A million years from now our civilization is nothing more than a peculiar layer of trash in earth's geologic record and a few bits of odd metal in space.

Elessar Zappa

(14,004 posts)
54. Eventually but
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 09:06 AM
Jul 2021

not for a long time. Even in worst case scenario global warming, there will likely be small groups that survive.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
60. That is something that I have been wondering about.
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:34 PM
Jul 2021

The scariest part of climate change is the hydrogen sulfide and methane hydrate that will be released at 6 degrees celsius (10.8 degrees fahrenheit) of warming. That is what could bring about an extinction event for a lot of species, including humans.

Quixote1818

(28,946 posts)
63. Probably not for a long time, because some very powerful
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:47 PM
Jul 2021

People will be able to survive in underground military installations for years then repopulate if there is some crazy shot that goes down.

 

marie999

(3,334 posts)
64. Since the last star will probably die in 100 trillion years the only way humans can live forever
Sat Jul 24, 2021, 02:57 PM
Jul 2021

would be to be able to travel to other universes. Although some quantum scientists believe we never truly die, only our bodies. The real us travels to another universe. If that is true, then maybe we have been around forever since this may not be our first universe. If it were true too bad we can't remember all our past lives.

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