How Good is this Marist Poll Guy

[bkkyosemite]

The Director some guy named Lee something just said on Chuck Todd that Romney will win on Election day huh? Did anyone else hear this or was I imagining this.

[RandySF]

1. Did he mean the election.

Or did he mean that Romney will win the walk-in vote on Election Day?

[Ninga]

2. Little Chuckie has to be relevant otherwise what would he blather about if he books

guests that say "it's over".

[Democratopia]

3. Not a very objective pollster then.

[Democratopia]

4. An "impartial" pollster who has already decided who will win.

[JanetLovesObama]

5. Yes, I heard him say

"Romney will win on election day but Obama is running up the score." ??????? WTH does that mean ?

[RandySF]

6. It means that Romney will win those in Iowa who go vote on Election Day.

But Obama is racking up the early vote. Same thing happened in 2008.

[helpisontheway]

9. Sounds to me that he meant

Romney will win the votes of people that vote on Election Day but Obama is running up the score because early votes. However, I did not watch it. Glad I set TiVo to record Dsily Rundoen as Zi was walking out the door.

[OldDem2012]

7. He meant Romney will win the voting that will take place on Election Day....

....but that Obama is winning the early voting by a very side margin.

He also stated that requests for absentee ballots are continuing to pour in....something that seemed to worry Chuckie quite a bit.

[countingbluecars]

8. I heard it.

He said that the Obama people are playing up the early voting numbers which look good. But he said definitively that Romney will win. How the hell is he so sure? Stinks to me.

[ProSense]

12. That makes no sense

His organization just released a poll showing Obama up by 8 points, but his gut tells him Romney will win?

Yeah, the President has an 8-point lead, but it's a horse race.

Clowns.

[countingbluecars]

17. It surely doesn't make sense to me.

I went back and listened to the Marist guy again, He said, "Romney is clearly going to win on election day". What the hell?

[Chan790]

18. You're missing half of it.

Obama is up by 8 in the polls.
Obama is leading in early voting.
Romney will win Election Day, that-is more people will vote Romney than Obama on Election Day. (The same thing happened in 2008 in several states. McCain got more in-person E-Day votes than Obama...and lost the states anyways.)

He's not saying Romney will win the state, he's saying Romney will win the day...but will have to overcome the margin Obama has built among early-voters.

[countingbluecars]

19. Thanks.

I missed that half.

[orpupilofnature57]

10. I don't listen, I worry about Diebold, election fraud

and polls that don't substantiate what pun-dinks gather from them .

[mucifer]

11. So why is President Obama ahead now in the Marist popular vote poll?

[Puzzledtraveller]

13. I never understood the polling as far as likely verses registered

I ask this because are there any polls where people who aren't even registered to vote included?

[Cicada]

14. O wins early votes R wins votes cast election day

Marist poll says the pro-Obama early voting will more than compensate for R's election day advantage.

[Puzzledtraveller]

15. that doesn't comfort me much.

[edhopper]

16. This shows their accuracy in 2008

they got a D+

http://electoralmap.net/2012/2008_election.php