Question on the upcoming Canadian election.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

I am operating under the assumption that regardless of the outcome the left of center parties will have enough seats to form a government. Is that correct?

[applegrove]

1. The conservatives could have a minority. It is the party that has the most seats that forms

government. If they do get a minority they would have to make deals to pass legislation. But they could easily win.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. What happens if the left of center partied have more seats?

[applegrove]

3. The governor general will still name the party with the most seats to form government.

We don't do what Israel does. That being said a minority government would be less stable, especially if it is a conservative one. If they put forth a budget and it fails then another election happens. If they decide to call an election themselves then there is one.

[carpetbagger]

4. No

The most likely outcome is a minority Liberal government with NDP as a junior partner, but Conservatives generally win elections if they get in the 36-38 percent range.

[roamer65]

5. My prediction is a Liberal-NDP coalition government.

If Liberals lose seats and the NDP gains them, Jagmeet Singh (leader of the NDP) will probably be Deputy PM.

[applegrove]

6. Nope. Coalitions are rare in canadian politics. The parties do make deals but usually the

parties stay separate in a minority government situation. There was a Union Government during WWI between the liberals and the conservatives. But i don't think it has happened since then where the parties have melted into each other. They have split apart. We are not like Israel or Italy in that regard. The governor general gives the government to the one party with the most votes. My hope is that the bloc quebecois does not do well and Trudeau gets a majority, though that does not look likely. A girl can dream.

[roamer65]

7. I don't see a Liberal majority government.

If the Liberals lose seats and the NDP gains seats, they are going to have to forge some sort of formal power sharing agreement with the NDP.

Will the parties stay the Liberals and NDP? Of course.

Will they do some sort of agreement? Of course.

[applegrove]

8. Just so long as it is not O'Toole.

[roamer65]

9. Whatever it takes to keep the CONS out of power.

If liberals take 32 pct of the vote and the NDP 20 pct. That is a huge mandate for center left government of 52 pct.

[applegrove]

10. It only matters which party won the most seats. One party.

[roamer65]

11. Even if the CONS get one or two more seats, there is no one to unite with on the right.

Their government will fall faster than Joe Clark’s in 1979-80. You will be back at the polls in 3 months.

Question: What happens if the Liberals and CONS get the same number of seats?

Does the Governor General flip a coin?

[applegrove]

12. Mayhem. Fortunately we have a great Governor General now. She would decide

after consultation with experts I think. Liberals may try to get some bloc or NDP member to join their team. Stuff like that. I am assuming of course. It has not happened.

[roamer65]

13. It's gonna be close.

Let’s hope Trudeau plus Singh win well past the majority mark.

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