Polls show california recall turning into landslide in Newsom's favor

[Demovictory9]

https://www.sfgate.com/gavin-newsom-recall/article/Newsom-recall-poll-election-California-yes-Elder-16430710.php

[brush]

1. As many of us suspected. Larry Elder is no Arnold.

[Whatthe_Firetruck]

33. I saw a commercial with him,

Followed by two more with whites speaking for him, the woman supposedly a democrat.

I joked to my husband that his complexion must not have polled well.

[sheshe2]

2. I sure hope you are right.

[JI7]

3. They need to bring up the Texas anti choice shit and show more larry elder

[Wounded Bear]

7. Already saw a facebook meme from the Newsome camp...

saying how that could happen in California if they vote him out.

[msongs]

4. youtube is swamped with anti newsom comments on any californa related vids

and many of them are obvious cut and paste bots

[AZSkiffyGeek]

8. Good thing comments don't vote

[Celerity]

24. because social media comments on many Dem candidates are the domain of RW incel nazi-wannabe swarms

[brush]

34. Apparently, according to the new poll, they're not working.

[Hugh_Lebowski]

5. Yeah, well ... people still need to cast their ballots ...

Remember 2016!

[Demovictory9]

10. Ballots are being.cast daily by mail in. In person starts Saturday

[Hugh_Lebowski]

12. Yes, I understand. Turnout is still going to turn out to be very important ...

Just because Newsom is 'favored', there must not be any laurel-resting until the contest is over

[USALiberal]

6. Posting the poll would have been nice, here.....

The new poll, conducted among 1,706 Californians between Aug. 20 to Aug. 29, shows that 58% of likely voters plan to vote "no" on the first question (Shall Gavin Newsom be recalled?) while just 39% plan to vote "yes." Newsom, armed with an eight-to-one fundraising advantage, has dramatically increased voter outreach and engagement efforts over the course of the final month.

[Thunderbeast]

9. DON'T JUST "HOPE THEY'RE RIGHT"!

Vote like your life depends on it.

Kill the recall!

And...BTW...Change the California Constitution so that the "recalled" Governor can run to replace themselves!

If 49.9% of voters don't want to recall a Governor, those votes should be counted as affirmative votes for the sitting officer allowing them to retain the seat in a plurality.

[Hugh_Lebowski]

13. YES!!! nt

[ffr]

31. +1 Exactly. No more 2016 the good democrat is going to win over the evil idiot reichpublican

GOTV!

[bluestarone]

11. AWESOME

I got everything crossed that i can! GO NEWSOM!!

[peggysue2]

14. As soon as the CA GOP was sending Stop the Steal messaging to the base . . .

I knew the numbers were going in Newsom's favor. If you read the preliminary forecasts indicating Newsom was on his last legs, the Republicans were more energized and Dems apathetic, the polls were neck to neck, yada, yada, you would have sworn this was done and delivered, a huge Republican victory in a deep blue state.

Not saying it's over, of course. The full vote will be tallied in the next two weeks. But the early vote counts coming in were a complete reversal of what was being pushed by the political media and pollsters.

Lots of psychological, political warfare going on. If it turns out Newsom wins with a big margin, I suspect the Repugs ramped up the hype deliberately to keep their voters in outrage mode, increase election distrust.

As for the pollsters? They really can't afford another whopping failure.

[aggiesal]

15. I donated $40 for the cause ...

I'm glad it's having an impact.

[Tiger8]

16. Everybody must still vote

Polls count for nothing.

Every right wing nutjob will vote, so that means Democrats must vote too....or see "Larry the Loon" Elder terrorizing California.

[Grokenstein]

19. THIS. This is the only valid takeaway from the thread.

[Tiger8]

23. Agreed. And Thank you!

VOTE

[BlueMTexpat]

17. PLEASE let this

be true!!!!!

[Johonny]

18. Who wants to live in another Texas Taliban state?

I sure hope far less than 50 percent of the California voters. The GOP is filled with sick piles of shit.

[ShazzieB]

20. OMG, I hope and pray this prediction comes true!!

It would be absolutely glorious to see this recall effort to go down in flames! Oh, please please please please please!!!!!

[movingviolation]

21. HELL YES! Don't GQP my state, muthafukas!!

[The Unmitigated Gall]

22. Voted.

Would crawl over broken glass to say NO to jackwipe Elder.

[mountain grammy]

26. Thank you from Colorado

[SoCalDavidS]

27. Put My Ballot In A Drop Box Today

I originally was hoping it would be 65%-35%. I'll still be happy if Newsom comes in with 60% No votes.

Looks like it's shaping up to be a good outcome. Just got to keep the foot on the pedal for another 12 days.

[Hekate]

28. Fingers crossed. A poll is not the election. nt

[Nixie]

29. Fabulous! We are dropping off our ballots next week.

[Hong Kong Cavalier]

30. Always always ALWAYS campaign like you're 10 points down.

Never take anything for granted. I hope Newsom's people are doing this.

[Whatthe_Firetruck]

32. I just filled mine out.

Last edited Sat Sep 4, 2021, 02:20 PM - Edit history (2)

It seems you can mark a candidate even after marking no on the recall.

I looked up other Democrat candidates just in case the yes won. I tend to vote for women when I can, so I looked up Holly L Baade. I found an interview in the latimes (paywall), and saw enough to eliminate her. "Do you believe Joe Biden was lawfully elected president?" Her answer, "No." Coincidentally, that's my answer to her.

https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2021-08-27/meet-the-other-recall-candidates-holly-l-baade

Then there's the (male) leading democrat, Kevin Paffrath. He wants to fight the drought here by digging a pipeline to... the Mississippi river. Yes, across more than half the country. Over or through the Sierras & the Rockies. Not asking what the people adjacent to the river think about it. Considering when the people on Soucal want a pipeline from Norcal, the northerners object loudly, I can't image the big river residents would be happy about it. I'm not happy with him.

https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article253738118.html

The other woman is Jacqueline McGowan. She didn't say anything objectional, and her main issue is pot. Good enough for me, lol

[Demsrule86]

35. I heard some say don't mark any candidate...just vote no.

I am not from California so I don't know why.

[Iggo]

38. I am exceedingly angry that the Dems didn't put forth a viable replacement candidate.

Vexed, miffed, and perturbed.

Two dem websites my SIL went to said vote “no” and leave the second question blank.

Smart people have a Plan B.

Fuck appearances. Fuck optics. Fight to win.

[cynical_idealist]

36. I live in California

It would truly be an endless series of disasters if (r) took over governorship.

Democratic legislators need to change some laws so recalls are more like a real election
and someone with 20% vote can't take over.

[Iggo]

39. The first thing Elder would do is roll back our COVID restrictions.

DeSantis Jr.

[Kaleva]

37. This will upset the Doom & Gloomers.